XPL — Solitario Exploration & Royalty Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Solitario Exploration & Royalty Corp

Solitario Resources Corp., an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition and exploration of precious metal, zinc, and other base metal properties in North and South America. The company also explores for gold deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Golden Crest gold project covering an area of approximately 33,000 acres of mining claims located in western South Dakota, Lawrence County; and 85% interest in the Chambara project, which co… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.83
Market Cap$78.2M
Float69.4M
Shares Outstanding93.1M
Price/Sales (TTM)29.23
vs. Analyst Target+80.7% to analyst PT
Revenue (TTM)-$408,000
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$1.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$939,000 -$438,000 -$876,000
2021 N/A -$2.4M -$1.2M -$2.3M
2022 N/A -$3.9M -$2.3M -$3.9M
2023 N/A -$3.8M -$66,000 -$3.7M
2024 N/A -$5.4M -$69,000 -$5.3M
2025 N/A -$3.8M -$60,000 -$4.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$943,000
Sep 2025 N/A -$1.9M
Dec 2025 N/A -$509,000
Mar 2026 N/A -$494,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.2%
Institutional Ownership24.6%
Short Float0.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.57%
Number of Funds Holding47

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.75Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.70Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.66Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.69Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.70 support 1.27x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (63 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.00% 44.44% 9.68% -8.42%
1 Day 0.24% 0.00% 44.44% 14.33% -12.33%
1 Week -1.62% -2.50% 30.16% 16.22% -25.67%
2 Weeks -2.91% -3.85% 33.33% 34.48% -35.71%
1 Month -2.85% -3.77% 33.87% 41.38% -31.33%

Next earnings: May 1, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.1%55.0%20
Feb7.2%55.0%20
Mar-0.7%40.0%20
Apr-0.9%30.0%20
May2.2%42.1%19
Jun-0.9%42.1%19
Jul0.6%42.1%19
Aug-2.2%42.1%19
Sep-2.1%31.6%19
Oct-3.2%40.0%20
Nov-0.4%40.0%20
Dec2.6%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.45% 34.9% 930
Tuesday 0.12% 40.7% 1019
Wednesday 0.03% 37.9% 1017
Thursday 0.00% 39.9% 998
Friday 0.55% 45.6% 995

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 24.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$5,500
Net Shares Change10,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
HERALD CHRISTOPHER E President and CEO +$5,500 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-24 HERALD CHRISTOPHER E President and CEO +$5,500 Transaction at $0.55, now +50.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Solitario Exploration & Royalty Corp (XPL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XPL on Trend Edge →