VALE — Vale SA ADR

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Vale SA ADR

Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces iron ore and nickel in Brazil, Asia, the Middle East, North Africa, Europe, the Americas, and Oceania. The company operates in two segments, Iron Ore Solutions and Vale Base Metals. It extracts, produces, and distributes iron ore, iron ore pellets, briquettes, nickel, copper, other ferrous products, and by-products, including gold, silver, cobalt, platinum-group metals, and other base metals, as… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.50
Market Cap$70.21B
Float3.96B
Shares Outstanding4.26B
P/E (Forward)8.03
P/E (TTM)24.95
Price/Sales (TTM)0.33
vs. Analyst Target+4.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)28.12%
Revenue (TTM)$214.86B
Earnings Growth (YoY)22.00%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$17.22 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $39.55B $4.88B $21.98B $12.56B
2021 $54.50B $22.45B $32.77B $34.13B
2022 $43.84B $18.79B $19.81B $23.74B
2023 $41.78B $7.98B $17.70B $15.56B
2024 $38.06B $6.17B $13.79B $11.07B
2025 $38.23B $2.47B $13.14B $14.12B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $8.80B $2.12B
Sep 2025 $10.41B $2.68B
Dec 2025 $11.06B -$3.90B
Mar 2026 $9.26B $1.89B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership25.3%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding6.41%
Number of Funds Holding527

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.52Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.86Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.09Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.83Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.57Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.30 support 1.18x 3 months ago
$11.00 support 1.11x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (98 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.42% 0.33% 59.18% 4.86% -4.64%
1 Day 0.20% 0.34% 56.12% 8.01% -8.09%
1 Week 1.35% 0.55% 57.14% 56.43% -23.00%
2 Weeks 0.25% 0.54% 51.02% 49.91% -30.21%
1 Month 1.00% -0.08% 49.48% 51.43% -29.60%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%50.0%24
Feb2.8%66.7%24
Mar-0.9%37.5%24
Apr2.6%44.0%25
May-1.4%41.7%24
Jun-0.5%45.8%24
Jul3.4%58.3%24
Aug-3.5%33.3%24
Sep2.7%66.7%24
Oct2.5%62.5%24
Nov2.6%50.0%24
Dec4.6%62.5%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 51.3% 1141
Tuesday 0.19% 52.2% 1250
Wednesday 0.11% 51.5% 1248
Thursday -0.03% 48.9% 1223
Friday 0.11% 48.9% 1220

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 25.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$377,881.466
Net Shares Change46,908
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Arap Sobrinho Sami Executive VP Legal Officer +$209,289.684 1 1 buy
Tallia Parenti Grazielle Officer, Sustainability +$168,591.782 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-03 Tallia Parenti Grazielle Officer, Sustainability +$168,591.782 Transaction at $16.11, now +2.4%
2026-04-03 Arap Sobrinho Sami Executive VP Legal Officer +$209,289.684 Transaction at $16.11, now +2.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vale SA ADR (VALE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VALE on Trend Edge →