XEL — Xcel Energy Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Xcel Energy Inc

Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas delivery company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility and Regulated Natural Gas Utility segments. The company generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity through its energy portfolio, including wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar power from both owned generation facilities and PPAs, as well as it… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$80.78
Market Cap$50.07B
Float622.6M
Shares Outstanding624.3M
P/E (Forward)19.57
P/E (TTM)23.11
Price/Sales (TTM)3.39
vs. Analyst Target+13.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.16%
Revenue (TTM)$14.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)6.00%
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$91.67 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.53B $1.47B $4.96B $4.32B
2021 $13.43B $1.60B $5.26B $4.60B
2022 $15.31B $1.74B $5.86B $5.08B
2023 $14.21B $1.77B $5.98B $5.20B
2024 $13.44B $1.94B $6.15B $5.59B
2025 $14.67B $2.02B $3.56B $6.07B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.29B $444M
Sep 2025 $3.92B $524M
Dec 2025 $3.56B $567M
Mar 2026 $4.02B $556M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership93.8%
Short Float4.6%
% of All Funds Holding14.32%
Number of Funds Holding1,177

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$80.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$78.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$73.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$67.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$79.28Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$74.60Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$67.36Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$83.00 resistance 1.03x 1 months ago
$76.00 support 1.08x 2 months ago
$73.00 support 1.58x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.30% 0.02% 52.07% 3.57% -33.00%
1 Day -0.16% 0.00% 48.76% 22.06% -36.77%
1 Week -0.30% -0.19% 43.80% 18.18% -41.88%
2 Weeks 0.29% 0.42% 54.55% 26.61% -24.37%
1 Month 0.77% 0.69% 55.83% 20.11% -13.40%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%54.9%51
Feb-1.3%41.2%51
Mar1.4%54.9%51
Apr1.5%62.7%51
May1.1%68.0%50
Jun-0.5%50.0%50
Jul0.3%60.0%50
Aug2.0%70.0%50
Sep-0.4%42.0%50
Oct1.2%64.0%50
Nov1.5%68.0%50
Dec0.3%52.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 48.1% 2384
Tuesday 0.01% 48.3% 2586
Wednesday 0.04% 45.5% 2587
Thursday 0.03% 46.1% 2537
Friday 0.01% 49.0% 2524

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 93.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$1.4M
Net Shares Change-3,523
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rome Amanda J EVP, Group President, Utilitie -$1.3M 1 1 sell
Long Ryan J. EVP, Chief Legal and -$66,328 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-04 Rome Amanda J EVP, Group President, Utilitie -$1.3M Transaction at $83.61, now -3.4%
2026-03-04 Long Ryan J. EVP, Chief Legal and -$66,328 Transaction at $82.91, now -2.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XEL on Trend Edge →