DUK — Duke Energy Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DUK Bullish with a Setup Score of 69, net conviction 39, actionability 121. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score69
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability121 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Duke Energy Corporation

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers in the Southeast and Midwest regions. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$125.48
Market Cap$97.65B
Float777.6M
Shares Outstanding779.6M
P/E (Forward)18.94
P/E (TTM)19.48
Price/Sales (TTM)2.98
vs. Analyst Target+10.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin15.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)25.51%
Revenue (TTM)$32.72B
Earnings Growth (YoY)12.00%
Dividend Rate4.3%
Analyst Target Price$138.56 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $23.37B $1.38B $11.35B $8.50B
2021 $25.10B $3.58B $12.10B $11.37B
2022 $28.77B $2.55B $12.98B $12.36B
2023 $29.06B $4.30B $13.76B $13.87B
2024 $30.36B $4.51B $15.20B $15.00B
2025 $32.24B $4.97B $10.17B $15.67B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $7.51B $984M
Sep 2025 $8.67B $1.42B
Dec 2025 $7.94B $1.18B
Mar 2026 $9.18B $1.55B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership70.8%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding28.06%
Number of Funds Holding2,306

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$125.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$124.63Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$121.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$108.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$125.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$121.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$110.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$122.00 support 1.06x 0 months ago
$122.00 support 1.32x 4 months ago
$118.00 support 1.14x 5 months ago
$112.00 support 1.06x 16 months ago
$98.00 support 1.01x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.10% 0.00% 45.45% 4.39% -5.34%
1 Day 0.02% -0.11% 44.63% 16.16% -5.16%
1 Week -0.49% -0.55% 43.80% 34.16% -10.78%
2 Weeks -0.77% -1.32% 38.84% 35.53% -18.36%
1 Month -0.47% -0.69% 40.83% 42.63% -21.64%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.8%60.9%46
Feb-2.5%41.3%46
Mar2.6%76.1%46
Apr1.8%68.1%47
May-0.9%40.4%47
Jun0.7%63.8%47
Jul1.4%58.7%46
Aug0.6%50.0%46
Sep0.4%65.2%46
Oct2.4%73.9%46
Nov-1.0%43.5%46
Dec1.8%60.9%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 47.9% 2206
Tuesday 0.07% 49.0% 2394
Wednesday 0.01% 47.2% 2392
Thursday 0.06% 48.8% 2346
Friday 0.02% 48.4% 2330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 70.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$11.2M
Net Shares Change-89,921
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings15
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sideris Harry K. President, CEO -$2.5M 1 1 sell
Renjel Louis E. EVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOff -$1.6M 4 4 sell
Glenn Robert Alexander EVP & Chief Legal Officer -$1.0M 1 1 sell
Gillespie Thomas Preston Jr. EVP-Chf Gen Off-Entrp Op Excel -$832,542 1 1 sell
Titone Bonnie B. SVP, Chief Admin Officer -$248,763.8 1 1 sell
Weintraub Alexander J. EVP, Chief Customer Officer +$125.14 2 1 buy, 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-08 – 2025-08-21 5 5 -$1.5M 4 C-suite
2026-02-13 – 2026-02-25 4 3 -$3.4M 4 C-suite
2026-05-11 – 2026-05-21 3 3 -$2.9M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Weintraub Alexander J. EVP, Chief Customer Officer +$48,781.14 Transaction at $123.81, now +1.3%
2026-05-11 Sideris Harry K. President, CEO -$2.5M Transaction at $124.37, now +0.9%
2026-05-12 Renjel Louis E. EVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOff -$438,025 Transaction at $125.15, now +0.3%
2026-02-13 Renjel Louis E. EVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOff -$868,156 Transaction at $127.67, now -1.7%
2025-11-20 Glenn Robert Alexander EVP & Chief Legal Officer -$1.0M Transaction at $123.80, now +1.4%
2025-08-13 Gillespie Thomas Preston Jr. EVP-Chf Gen Off-Entrp Op Excel -$832,542 Transaction at $124.26, now +1.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DUK on Trend Edge →