AEP — American Electric Power Co Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AEP Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 33, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About American Electric Power Co Inc

American Electric Power Company, Inc., an electric public utility holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers in the United States. It operates through Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco, and Generation & Marketing segments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$135.43
Market Cap$72.83B
Float543.3M
Shares Outstanding544.1M
P/E (Forward)21.32
P/E (TTM)20.13
Price/Sales (TTM)3.25
vs. Analyst Target+7.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.29%
Operating Margin (TTM)23.74%
Revenue (TTM)$22.43B
Earnings Growth (YoY)6.70%
Dividend Rate3.8%
Analyst Target Price$145.43 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $14.91B $2.20B $4.28B $6.21B
2021 $16.62B $2.49B $4.67B $6.75B
2022 $19.31B $2.31B $4.87B $7.10B
2023 $19.38B $2.21B $5.62B $7.21B
2024 $19.92B $2.97B $6.36B $8.09B
2025 $21.78B $3.58B $6.93B $9.34B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $5.09B $1.23B
Sep 2025 $6.01B $972M
Dec 2025 $5.05B $582M
Mar 2026 $6.02B $874M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership82.0%
Short Float6.2%
% of All Funds Holding21.90%
Number of Funds Holding1,800

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$131.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$125.77Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$115.47Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$99.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$128.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$116.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$102.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$126.00 support 1.56x 0 months ago
$120.00 support 1.02x 4 months ago
$113.00 support 1.14x 8 months ago
$105.00 support 1.01x 11 months ago
$93.00 support 1.18x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (1 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.34% -0.34% 0.00% -0.34% -0.34%
1 Day -3.27% -3.27% 0.00% -3.27% -3.27%
1 Week -6.63% -6.63% 0.00% -6.63% -6.63%
2 Weeks -5.96% -5.96% 0.00% -5.96% -5.96%
1 Month N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%60.8%51
Feb-2.2%35.3%51
Mar0.7%58.8%51
Apr2.3%66.7%51
May-1.3%39.2%51
Jun0.3%60.8%51
Jul2.3%62.0%50
Aug-0.6%50.0%50
Sep-0.5%46.0%50
Oct2.3%74.0%50
Nov-0.6%42.0%50
Dec1.4%60.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 46.8% 2390
Tuesday 0.03% 47.2% 2592
Wednesday -0.00% 44.2% 2593
Thursday 0.01% 44.9% 2543
Friday 0.05% 47.5% 2528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$1.3M
Net Shares Change-29,041
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FOWKE BENJAMIN G S III -$2.9M 5 N/A
Ferneau Kelly J Executive Vice President -$797,492.85 3 N/A
Ulrich Phillip R. Executive Vice President -$542,320.48 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-25 Ferneau Kelly J Executive Vice President -$255,368.13 Transaction at $131.75, now +2.8%
2025-10-03 Ferneau Kelly J Executive Vice President -$158,223 Transaction at $112.38, now +20.5%
2025-08-18 Ferneau Kelly J Executive Vice President -$383,901.72 Transaction at $111.99, now +20.9%
2026-03-02 Ulrich Phillip R. Executive Vice President -$542,320.48 Transaction at $132.08, now +2.5%
2025-12-15 FOWKE BENJAMIN G S III -$575,350 Transaction at $115.07, now +17.7%
2025-11-17 FOWKE BENJAMIN G S III -$607,900 Transaction at $121.58, now +11.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AEP on Trend Edge →