WDC — Western Digital Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates WDC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 59, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction59
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Western Digital Corporation

Western Digital Corporation engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of data storage devices and solutions based on hard disk drive (HDD) technology in the United States, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers internal HDDs, data center drives, data center platforms, external drives, portable drives, NAS for home and office, and accessories. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$450.75
Market Cap$169.11B
Float358.0M
Shares Outstanding360.5M
P/E (Forward)22.27
P/E (TTM)17.15
Price/Sales (TTM)13.09
vs. Analyst Target+47.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin72.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)43.61%
Revenue (TTM)$12.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)984.10%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$664.92 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $16.92B $821M $4.52B $2.46B
2022 $18.79B $1.55B $5.87B $3.40B
2023 $6.25B -$1.68B $1.39B $289M
2024 $6.32B -$798M $1.77B $243M
2025 $9.52B $1.86B $3.69B $1.94B
2026 $12.92B $9.42B $6.31B $4.45B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.82B $1.18B
Dec 2025 $3.02B $1.84B
Mar 2026 $3.34B $3.21B
Jun 2026 $3.75B $3.19B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership92.2%
Short Float6.9%
% of All Funds Holding20.79%
Number of Funds Holding1,829

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$510.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$373.27Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$224.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$113.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$373.61Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$223.17Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$133.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$244.00 support 1.19x 5 months ago
$178.00 support 1.17x 6 months ago
$119.00 support 1.39x 9 months ago
$79.00 support 1.27x 10 months ago
$64.00 support 1.00x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.00% 45.08% 17.31% -17.39%
1 Day -0.50% -0.29% 47.54% 20.94% -18.18%
1 Week 0.58% -0.03% 50.00% 39.16% -29.87%
2 Weeks 0.74% 0.20% 50.82% 56.96% -31.17%
1 Month 3.32% 1.48% 52.07% 82.31% -43.14%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan15.3%72.9%48
Feb-0.8%45.8%48
Mar2.0%47.9%48
Apr4.1%62.5%48
May2.4%56.3%48
Jun-3.9%31.3%48
Jul-0.3%43.8%48
Aug4.5%55.3%47
Sep-2.5%38.3%47
Oct0.9%44.7%47
Nov4.5%66.7%48
Dec4.1%60.4%48

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 43.9% 2279
Tuesday 0.07% 44.9% 2470
Wednesday 0.32% 47.6% 2470
Thursday 0.16% 46.1% 2423
Friday 0.04% 44.8% 2408

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings38
Net Value-$61.4M
Net Shares Change-303,654
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings28
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gubbi Vidyadhara K Chief of Global Operations -$14.9M 6 6 sell
Tregillis Cynthia L Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Cole Martin I -$1.8M 1 N/A
KIDDOO BRUCE E -$396,390 1 1 sell
Oulman Roxanne -$277,956 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-25 – 2025-09-05 5 3 -$3.1M 5 C-suite
2025-11-26 – 2025-12-08 6 5 -$6.0M 2 C-suite
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-19 3 3 -$14.2M 2 C-suite
2026-02-24 – 2026-03-10 6 3 -$12.3M 5 C-suite
2026-04-22 – 2026-05-05 3 3 -$10.9M 3 C-suite
2026-05-27 – 2026-06-05 4 3 -$3.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-02 Gubbi Vidyadhara K Chief of Global Operations -$1.4M Transaction at $556.24, now -19.0%
2026-05-29 KIDDOO BRUCE E -$396,390 Transaction at $528.52, now -14.7%
2026-03-05 Gubbi Vidyadhara K Chief of Global Operations -$4.5M Transaction at $260.46, now +73.1%
2026-03-10 Gubbi Vidyadhara K Chief of Global Operations -$2.2M Transaction at $255.32, now +76.5%
2026-05-05 Gubbi Vidyadhara K Chief of Global Operations -$2.1M Transaction at $443.19, now +1.7%
2025-12-08 Gubbi Vidyadhara K Chief of Global Operations -$3.7M Transaction at $163.16, now +176.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Western Digital Corporation (WDC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WDC on Trend Edge →