RGTI — Rigetti Computing Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RGTI Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 28, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Rigetti Computing Inc

Rigetti Computing, Inc., through its subsidiaries, builds and operates quantum computers and the superconducting quantum processors the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers quantum processing units (QPUs) and quantum computing systems to provide access to quantum computing systems through the cloud in the form of quantum computing as a service (QCaaS). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.44
Market Cap$5.36B
Float329.0M
Shares Outstanding333.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)401.56
vs. Analyst Target+75.3% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-546.17%
Revenue (TTM)$13.4M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$28.81 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.5M -$17.2M $4.1M -$30.8M
2021 $8.2M -$38.2M $1.9M -$31.1M
2022 $13.1M -$71.5M $10.2M -$59.2M
2023 $12.0M -$75.1M $9.2M -$61.9M
2024 $10.8M -$201M $5.7M -$191M
2025 $7.1M -$216M -$6.1M -$208M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.9M -$201M
Dec 2025 $1.9M -$18.2M
Mar 2026 $4.4M $33.1M
Jun 2026 $5.1M -$52.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.7%
Institutional Ownership55.9%
Short Float19.3%
% of All Funds Holding5.37%
Number of Funds Holding472

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.11Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.20 support 1.06x 14 months ago
$3.60 support 6.78x 19 months ago
$1.30 support 4.61x 20 months ago
$0.80 support 1.27x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.55% -0.14% 40.91% 16.46% -11.26%
1 Day 1.63% -0.11% 45.45% 39.02% -14.59%
1 Week 1.71% 2.87% 59.09% 25.61% -22.28%
2 Weeks 11.27% 3.19% 54.55% 114.00% -21.16%
1 Month 24.36% -1.30% 38.10% 465.77% -43.55%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.56% 47.2% 250
Tuesday -0.08% 41.5% 277
Wednesday 0.12% 42.2% 275
Thursday 0.23% 45.5% 268
Friday 0.91% 46.7% 270

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 55.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings22
Net Value-$17.8M
Net Shares Change-387,725
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rivas David CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$15.0M 5 5 sell
Kulkarni Subodh K President and CEO -$2.4M 1 1 sell
Bertelsen Jeffrey A. CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$224,479.957 3 3 sell
Bestwick Andrew Joseph CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$97,319.492 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-10 – 2025-09-22 6 4 -$8.2M
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-01 4 3 -$15.6M 4 C-suite
2026-08-20 – 2026-08-20 3 3 -$314,240.477 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-20 Bestwick Andrew Joseph CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$97,319.492 Transaction at $16.81, now -2.2%
2026-08-20 Rivas David CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$151,734.463 Transaction at $16.79, now -2.1%
2026-08-20 Bertelsen Jeffrey A. CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$65,186.522 Transaction at $16.89, now -2.7%
2026-06-01 Rivas David CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$12.7M Transaction at $12.83, now +28.1%
2026-06-01 Kulkarni Subodh K President and CEO -$2.4M Transaction at $13.11, now +25.4%
2026-03-11 Rivas David CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$643,320.552 Transaction at $17.52, now -6.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rigetti Computing Inc (RGTI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RGTI on Trend Edge →