W — Wayfair Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates W Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 41, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Wayfair Inc

Wayfair Inc. engages in the e-commerce business in the United States and internationally. It provides online selections of furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products through its sites comprising Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional. The company offers its products under the Three Posts and Mercury Row brands. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$104.53
Market Cap$14.15B
Float114.1M
Shares Outstanding116.0M
P/E (Forward)33.56
Price/Sales (TTM)1.14
vs. Analyst Target+18.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.01%
Revenue (TTM)$12.90B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-55.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$123.31 (35 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $14.15B $185M $4.11B $637M
2021 $13.71B -$131M $3.90B $224M
2022 $12.22B -$1.33B $3.42B -$921M
2023 $12.00B -$738M $3.67B -$295M
2024 $11.85B -$492M $3.57B -$66.0M
2025 $12.46B -$313M $3.77B $82.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $3.12B -$99.0M
Dec 2025 $3.34B -$116M
Mar 2026 $2.93B -$105M
Jun 2026 $3.52B -$1.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.7%
Institutional Ownership106.1%
Short Float11.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.14%
Number of Funds Holding452

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$95.09Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$87.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$73.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$60.13Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$88.43Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$72.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$63.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$72.00 support 1.01x 1 months ago
$51.00 support 1.00x 12 months ago
$32.40 support 1.22x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% -0.26% 39.58% 6.42% -12.68%
1 Day 0.20% -0.51% 47.92% 11.99% -15.80%
1 Week -0.74% -0.94% 47.92% 20.60% -21.42%
2 Weeks -1.95% -1.33% 47.92% 26.83% -51.81%
1 Month 2.04% 0.25% 53.19% 41.82% -34.38%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan11.0%66.7%12
Feb-5.2%33.3%12
Mar-1.4%41.7%12
Apr4.3%33.3%12
May15.0%75.0%12
Jun13.8%75.0%12
Jul5.8%50.0%12
Aug-0.2%36.4%11
Sep-0.9%36.4%11
Oct-7.4%36.4%11
Nov3.3%58.3%12
Dec-3.2%33.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.20% 51.2% 561
Tuesday 0.31% 52.1% 616
Wednesday 0.18% 49.1% 613
Thursday -0.15% 50.3% 600
Friday 0.16% 52.9% 599

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.7%

Founder-led management: Niraj Shah (Co-Founder, Co-Chairman & CEO), Steve Conine (Co-Founder & Co-Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings37
Net Value-$219M
Net Shares Change-1,417,286
% of Float-1.2%
C-Suite Filings32
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Shah Niraj Chief Executive Officer -$27.8M 5 N/A
Conine Steven -$18.6M 3 N/A
Blotner Jon Pres., Commercial & Operations -$1.6M 1 N/A
Kumin Michael Andrew +$11,995.2 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-04 – 2025-09-04 3 3 -$13.6M 2 C-suite
2025-11-06 – 2025-11-12 4 3 -$2.7M 4 C-suite
2025-12-29 – 2026-01-05 4 4 -$36.5M 4 C-suite
2026-01-15 – 2026-01-27 3 3 -$33.7M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-14 Shah Niraj Chief Executive Officer -$7.1M Transaction at $103.36, now +1.1%
2025-09-04 Kumin Michael Andrew +$11,995.2 Transaction at $74.97, now +39.4%
2026-08-14 Conine Steven -$7.1M Transaction at $103.36, now +1.1%
2026-07-06 Blotner Jon Pres., Commercial & Operations -$1.6M Transaction at $95.72, now +9.2%
2026-04-27 Shah Niraj Chief Executive Officer -$9.3M Transaction at $77.55, now +34.8%
2026-03-25 Shah Niraj Chief Executive Officer -$8.4M Transaction at $77.19, now +35.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Wayfair Inc (W) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for W on Trend Edge →