BABA — Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates digital retail platforms under the Taobao and Tmall names; wholesale marketplaces through 1688.com and Alibaba.com; global e-commerce platform under the AliExpress name; e… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$127.76
Market Cap$315.41B
Float17.72B
Shares Outstanding2.40B
P/E (Forward)19.96
P/E (TTM)20.35
Price/Sales (TTM)0.31
vs. Analyst Target+49.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.01%
Revenue (TTM)$1.02T
Earnings Growth (YoY)104.10%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$191.33 (40 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $717.29B $150.58B $296.08B $217.96B
2022 $853.06B $62.25B $313.61B $128.23B
2023 $868.69B $72.78B $318.99B $153.11B
2024 $941.17B $80.01B $354.85B $164.01B
2025 $996.35B $130.11B $398.06B $182.67B
2026 $144.12B $14.58B $56.66B $14.07B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $247.65B $40.65B
Sep 2025 $247.79B $21.02B
Dec 2025 $280.91B $16.16B
Mar 2026 $35.15B $3.69B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership11.4%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding15.31%
Number of Funds Holding1,258

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$131.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$149.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$130.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$103.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$148.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$129.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$97.00 support 2.03x 14 months ago
$85.00 support 1.12x 15 months ago
$82.00 support 1.16x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.10% 0.34% 62.50% 4.01% -4.48%
1 Day 0.24% 0.43% 54.17% 7.06% -5.48%
1 Week -0.97% -1.62% 45.83% 12.03% -12.16%
2 Weeks -1.03% 0.15% 51.06% 20.16% -20.40%
1 Month 1.25% 1.57% 53.19% 40.25% -18.32%

Next earnings: August 1, 2026 (65 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.3%66.7%12
Feb-1.8%50.0%12
Mar0.7%33.3%12
Apr-1.8%50.0%12
May0.1%54.5%11
Jun3.3%54.5%11
Jul2.9%72.7%11
Aug2.1%63.6%11
Sep1.5%45.5%11
Oct2.1%50.0%12
Nov0.1%41.7%12
Dec-4.4%25.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 52.0% 550
Tuesday 0.21% 51.3% 606
Wednesday 0.24% 50.5% 602
Thursday -0.09% 47.0% 589
Friday -0.16% 44.3% 589

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 11.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change113,173
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Xu Hong Chief Financial Officer -$875,011.5 1 1 sell
Yu Siying General Counsel -$344,840.32 1 1 sell
Jiang Fang Chief People Officer -$271,252.8 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-26 – 2026-03-26 3 3 -$1.5M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-26 Xu Hong Chief Financial Officer -$875,011.5 Transaction at $16.07, now +695.0%
2026-03-26 Yu Siying General Counsel -$344,840.32 Transaction at $16.06, now +695.5%
2026-03-26 Jiang Fang Chief People Officer -$271,252.8 Transaction at $16.10, now +693.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BABA on Trend Edge →