JMIA — Jumia Technologies AG

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates JMIA Bearish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 33, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction33
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Jumia Technologies AG

Jumia Technologies AG operates an e-commerce platform in West Africa, North Africa, East and South Africa, Europe, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. The company's platform consists of marketplace that connects sellers with customers; logistics service, which enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers; and payment service with its network of licensed payment service providers and other partners, which faci… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.01
Market Cap$856M
Float90.8M
Shares Outstanding123.9M
Price/Sales (TTM)4.21
vs. Analyst Target+108.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-30.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)-25.85%
Revenue (TTM)$203M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.63 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $195M -$225M $132M -$208M
2021 $168M -$227M $101M -$196M
2022 $203M -$238M $118M -$193M
2023 $186M -$104M $107M -$86.6M
2024 $167M -$99.1M $99.5M -$86.4M
2025 $189M -$61.5M $99.7M -$46.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $45.6M -$16.6M
Sep 2025 $45.6M -$17.9M
Dec 2025 $61.3M -$10.3M
Mar 2026 $50.6M -$17.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.9%
Institutional Ownership29.9%
Short Float6.1%
% of All Funds Holding1.65%
Number of Funds Holding136

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.41Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.51Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.81Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.50 support 1.70x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.88% -0.11% 41.38% 11.39% -23.16%
1 Day 1.51% 0.39% 51.72% 30.92% -11.12%
1 Week -0.43% -6.16% 41.38% 58.56% -26.05%
2 Weeks 8.66% 0.00% 48.28% 191.32% -31.10%
1 Month 7.59% -3.38% 46.43% 186.83% -40.46%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.7%57.1%7
Feb-4.7%28.6%7
Mar-13.4%14.3%7
Apr-0.8%42.9%7
May8.3%62.5%8
Jun6.0%50.0%8
Jul34.7%57.1%7
Aug-9.0%28.6%7
Sep-5.9%28.6%7
Oct3.0%14.3%7
Nov15.9%42.9%7
Dec-0.0%42.9%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.67% 50.1% 341
Tuesday -0.06% 44.4% 376
Wednesday 0.08% 48.9% 372
Thursday 0.06% 48.4% 364
Friday -0.01% 43.6% 362

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 29.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$141,800
Net Shares Change-20,000
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Maillet-Mezeray Antoine EVP Finance & Operations -$141,800 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-20 Maillet-Mezeray Antoine EVP Finance & Operations -$141,800 Transaction at $7.09, now -1.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JMIA on Trend Edge →