VTR — Ventas Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VTR Bullish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 34, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction34
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ventas Inc

Ventas, Inc. is an S&P 500 company enabling exceptional environments that benefit a large and growing aging population. With approximately 1,450 properties in North America and the United Kingdom, Ventas occupies an essential role in the longevity economy. The Company's growth is fueled by its more than 900 senior housing communities, which provide valuable services to residents and enable them to thrive in supported environments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$93.83
Market Cap$47.54B
Float510.5M
Shares Outstanding512.9M
P/E (Forward)151.52
P/E (TTM)165.50
Price/Sales (TTM)7.41
vs. Analyst Target+7.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.81%
Revenue (TTM)$6.42B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-6.70%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$100.45 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.80B $439M $1.86B $1.94B
2021 $3.83B $49.0M $1.74B $1.72B
2022 $4.13B -$47.4M $1.85B $1.62B
2023 $4.50B -$41.0M $1.94B $1.95B
2024 $4.92B $81.2M $2.10B $1.94B
2025 $5.83B $251M -$344M $2.24B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.49B $66.0M
Dec 2025 $1.57B $70.2M
Mar 2026 $1.66B $55.9M
Jun 2026 $1.73B $74.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership105.1%
Short Float4.6%
% of All Funds Holding10.69%
Number of Funds Holding940

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$93.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$85.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$76.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$60.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$85.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$76.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$63.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$84.00 support 1.25x 1 months ago
$83.00 support 1.37x 3 months ago
$78.00 support 1.02x 5 months ago
$61.00 support 1.06x 17 months ago
$55.00 support 1.19x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (117 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.03% 0.09% 57.26% 9.71% -14.58%
1 Day 0.37% 0.34% 55.56% 18.19% -22.92%
1 Week 0.57% 0.67% 55.56% 28.66% -39.58%
2 Weeks 0.15% 0.27% 50.43% 24.88% -39.58%
1 Month 0.95% 1.52% 52.59% 63.90% -58.81%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%55.2%29
Feb-0.0%55.2%29
Mar-1.4%51.7%29
Apr2.8%65.5%29
May2.5%62.1%29
Jun0.2%53.3%30
Jul3.5%70.0%30
Aug0.4%51.7%29
Sep0.0%48.3%29
Oct-1.0%55.2%29
Nov-0.3%55.2%29
Dec2.7%69.0%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 50.9% 1385
Tuesday 0.13% 51.6% 1514
Wednesday -0.03% 47.7% 1514
Thursday -0.02% 49.8% 1483
Friday 0.16% 53.8% 1475

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$16.6M
Net Shares Change-81,996
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings18
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CAFARO DEBRA A Chairman and CEO -$7.2M 3 N/A
Roberts Carey S. EVP and GC -$4.2M 1 1 sell
Probst Robert F EVP and CFO -$2.5M 1 N/A
Bulgarelli Peter J. EVP OM&R-Ventas/Pres&CEO-LHS -$1.1M 3 N/A
EMBLER MICHAEL J +$197,025 1 1 buy
Nolan Sean P. +$4,571.61 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-06 – 2025-11-20 6 3 -$1.5M 6 C-suite
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-17 4 3 -$6.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-05 EMBLER MICHAEL J +$197,025 Transaction at $78.81, now +19.1%
2026-02-17 Nolan Sean P. +$4,571.61 Transaction at $30.48, now +207.9%
2026-02-13 Roberts Carey S. EVP and GC -$4.2M Transaction at $85.34, now +9.9%
2026-01-06 Probst Robert F EVP and CFO -$2.5M Transaction at $77.29, now +21.4%
2026-02-03 CAFARO DEBRA A Chairman and CEO -$1.9M Transaction at $76.35, now +22.9%
2025-11-20 Bulgarelli Peter J. EVP OM&R-Ventas/Pres&CEO-LHS -$400,205 Transaction at $80.04, now +17.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ventas Inc (VTR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VTR on Trend Edge →