CTRE — CareTrust REIT Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About CareTrust REIT Inc.

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a self-administered, publicly traded REIT engaged in the ownership, acquisition, financing, development and leasing of skilled nursing, senior housing and other healthcare-related properties. As of December 31, 2025, CareTrust REIT owned, directly or indirectly in consolidated joint ventures, and leased to independent operators, 407 skilled nursing facilities (each, a SNF), senior housing communities and other properties c… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$41.68
Market Cap$9.69B
Float234.3M
Shares Outstanding236.2M
P/E (Forward)21.32
P/E (TTM)25.96
Price/Sales (TTM)18.54
vs. Analyst Target+5.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin64.10%
Operating Margin (TTM)57.79%
Revenue (TTM)$523M
Earnings Growth (YoY)5.00%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$43.82 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $176M $80.9M $171M $157M
2021 $190M $72.0M $187M $151M
2022 $188M -$7.5M $178M $72.9M
2023 $199M $53.7M $189M $146M
2024 $228M $125M $215M $212M
2025 $477M $321M $282M $462M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $86.0M $68.5M
Sep 2025 $104M $74.9M
Dec 2025 $135M $111M
Mar 2026 $143M $80.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership101.0%
Short Float1.7%
% of All Funds Holding5.57%
Number of Funds Holding458

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$39.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$37.41Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$33.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$26.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$37.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$32.20 support 1.63x 8 months ago
$22.60 support 1.24x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.11% 54.17% 5.22% -9.59%
1 Day 0.64% 0.47% 58.33% 10.26% -7.28%
1 Week 0.48% -0.24% 47.92% 12.28% -9.97%
2 Weeks 1.77% 1.24% 66.67% 18.44% -9.46%
1 Month 2.91% 3.50% 63.83% 24.98% -35.68%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%50.0%12
Feb-1.8%41.7%12
Mar2.1%75.0%12
Apr0.5%66.7%12
May6.1%72.7%11
Jun-0.6%41.7%12
Jul2.3%75.0%12
Aug2.3%75.0%12
Sep-4.1%33.3%12
Oct1.5%50.0%12
Nov1.9%58.3%12
Dec-2.4%25.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 53.1% 565
Tuesday 0.00% 47.4% 622
Wednesday -0.02% 51.6% 618
Thursday 0.04% 51.2% 605
Friday 0.17% 54.9% 605

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CareTrust REIT Inc. (CTRE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CTRE on Trend Edge →