LTC — LTC Properties Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LTC Bullish with a Setup Score of 69, net conviction 41, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score69
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About LTC Properties Inc

LTC Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on seniors housing and health care properties, principally investing through SHOP, triple-net leases, joint ventures, and structured finance solutions. The Company's portfolio includes nearly 190 properties throughout the United States. Based on gross real estate investments, 70 percent of the Company's assets are seniors housing communities with the remainder skilled nursing centers.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$40.69
Market Cap$2.20B
Float38.4M
Shares Outstanding53.9M
P/E (Forward)12.45
P/E (TTM)14.55
Price/Sales (TTM)6.46
vs. Analyst Target+3.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin39.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)52.87%
Revenue (TTM)$340M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-54.40%
Dividend Rate2.3%
Analyst Target Price$42.29 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $159M $95.3M $144M $164M
2021 $155M $55.9M $140M $122M
2022 $175M $100M $160M $170M
2023 $197M $89.7M $184M $176M
2024 $210M $91.0M $197M $172M
2025 $263M $118M $197M $197M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $69.3M -$20.0M
Dec 2025 $84.3M $102M
Mar 2026 $95.5M $23.6M
Jun 2026 $98.7M $29.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.1%
Institutional Ownership83.2%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.25%
Number of Funds Holding286

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$40.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.37Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$37.92Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$36.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$35.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$38.80 support 1.39x 0 months ago
$37.30 support 1.53x 1 months ago
$36.50 support 1.04x 5 months ago
$34.30 support 1.14x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (113 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% 0.00% 44.25% 12.06% -3.57%
1 Day 0.09% 0.13% 51.33% 11.24% -7.02%
1 Week -0.13% -0.15% 45.13% 21.89% -15.07%
2 Weeks 0.65% 0.58% 55.75% 18.90% -30.91%
1 Month 0.53% 0.35% 51.79% 24.91% -41.55%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%55.9%34
Feb-2.6%38.2%34
Mar1.0%58.8%34
Apr1.5%58.8%34
May1.8%61.8%34
Jun0.9%55.9%34
Jul1.6%52.9%34
Aug-1.2%42.4%33
Sep-0.1%52.9%34
Oct1.1%55.9%34
Nov0.1%47.1%34
Dec0.6%61.8%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 47.8% 1611
Tuesday 0.08% 48.1% 1758
Wednesday -0.02% 46.5% 1757
Thursday 0.03% 47.1% 1723
Friday 0.10% 48.3% 1713

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$692,100
Net Shares Change39,952
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gruber David L +$750,400 4 4 buy
BOITANO DAVID M EVP & CIO +$692,100 2 2 buy
TRICHE TIMOTHY -$123,562.5 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-04 BOITANO DAVID M EVP & CIO +$347,700 Transaction at $34.77, now +17.0%
2026-08-12 Gruber David L +$153,200 Transaction at $38.30, now +6.2%
2026-07-14 TRICHE TIMOTHY -$123,562.5 Transaction at $39.54, now +2.9%
2026-05-21 Gruber David L +$153,640 Transaction at $38.41, now +5.9%
2026-03-05 Gruber David L +$266,000 Transaction at $38.00, now +7.1%
2026-01-02 BOITANO DAVID M EVP & CIO +$344,400 Transaction at $34.44, now +18.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for LTC Properties Inc (LTC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LTC on Trend Edge →