VSEC — VSE Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VSEC Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 51, actionability 40. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction51
Actionability40 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation engages in providing aviation aftermarket parts distribution and maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for air transportation assets for commercial and government markets. It offers its services to global client base of commercial airlines, regional airlines, air cargo transporters, MRO integrators and providers, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$211.30
Market Cap$6.01B
Float26.2M
Shares Outstanding28.1M
P/E (Forward)59.88
P/E (TTM)74.18
Price/Sales (TTM)4.91
vs. Analyst Target+22.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.21%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.48%
Revenue (TTM)$1.18B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-7.00%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$258.67 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $662M -$5.2M $57.9M $38.1M
2021 $751M $8.0M $25.1M $47.1M
2022 $669M $28.1M $57.2M $78.2M
2023 $860M $39.1M $95.6M $111M
2024 $1.08B $30.5M $108M $110M
2025 $1.11B $53.5M $132M $130M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $272M $16.4M
Sep 2025 $283M $3.8M
Dec 2025 $301M $13.6M
Mar 2026 $325M $29.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership130.7%
Short Float8.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.95%
Number of Funds Holding325

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$197.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$191.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$159.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$103.56Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$196.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$162.85Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$117.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$181.00 support 1.18x 0 months ago
$117.00 support 1.25x 13 months ago
$101.00 support 1.10x 16 months ago
$83.00 support 1.85x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (110 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.09% 0.00% 41.82% 11.14% -10.71%
1 Day -0.45% -1.06% 34.55% 17.56% -17.37%
1 Week -2.00% -1.75% 38.18% 12.60% -21.88%
2 Weeks -1.61% -2.03% 40.00% 35.17% -31.04%
1 Month 0.48% 0.28% 51.38% 39.95% -51.88%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.1%45.5%44
Feb1.8%56.8%44
Mar0.8%59.1%44
Apr1.9%43.2%44
May3.5%54.5%44
Jun1.1%43.2%44
Jul1.8%53.5%43
Aug-0.4%46.5%43
Sep1.8%46.5%43
Oct1.4%41.9%43
Nov6.4%52.3%44
Dec3.6%54.5%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 34.4% 2080
Tuesday 0.12% 36.0% 2259
Wednesday 0.19% 35.3% 2256
Thursday 0.16% 36.0% 2214
Friday 0.15% 35.5% 2201

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 130.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$1.3M
Net Shares Change-6,500
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Thomas Benjamin E. Chief Operating Officer -$1.3M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-12 Thomas Benjamin E. Chief Operating Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $196.82, now +7.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for VSE Corporation (VSEC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VSEC on Trend Edge →