RKLB — Rocket Lab USA Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Rocket Lab USA Inc.

Rocket Lab Corporation, a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through launch services and space systems segments. The company provides launch services, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, optical systems, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions and constellation management services,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$150.23
Market Cap$74.59B
Float539.2M
Shares Outstanding578.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)110.18
vs. Analyst Target-32.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-26.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)-22.36%
Revenue (TTM)$680M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$100.84 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $35.2M -$55.0M -$11.8M -$45.6M
2021 $62.2M -$117M -$1.9M -$91.2M
2022 $211M -$136M $19.0M -$95.2M
2023 $245M -$183M $51.4M -$145M
2024 $436M -$190M $116M -$152M
2025 $602M -$198M $207M -$155M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $144M -$66.4M
Sep 2025 $155M -$18.3M
Dec 2025 $180M -$52.9M
Mar 2026 $200M -$45.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership58.7%
Short Float6.2%
% of All Funds Holding9.92%
Number of Funds Holding815

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$95.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$71.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$49.89Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$71.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$48.93Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$84.00 support 1.14x 0 months ago
$66.00 support 1.04x 0 months ago
$42.00 support 1.29x 4 months ago
$37.10 support 1.17x 9 months ago
$26.50 support 1.39x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 3.07% 2.59% 68.18% 31.24% -17.50%
1 Day 5.26% 0.34% 50.00% 37.31% -17.11%
1 Week 3.62% -2.63% 45.45% 58.78% -19.22%
2 Weeks 5.81% -2.38% 50.00% 75.10% -17.92%
1 Month 3.54% -6.89% 42.86% 76.67% -22.74%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.18% 50.8% 256
Tuesday 0.21% 46.5% 286
Wednesday 0.39% 51.8% 284
Thursday -0.03% 44.2% 276
Friday 0.80% 55.2% 277

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

Founder-led management: Peter Beck (Founder, Chairman, President & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings41
Net Value-$452M
Net Shares Change-10,659,949
% of Float-2.0%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Spice Adam C. Chief Financial Officer -$45.0M 3 3 sell
Slusky Alexander R -$11.8M 1 1 sell
Kampani Arjun SVP and General Counsel -$4.9M 2 1 sell
Saintil Merline -$2.8M 3 3 sell
Frank Edward H. -$193,471.75 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-05-30 – 2025-06-10 7 3 -$4.3M 7 C-suite
2025-09-17 – 2025-09-22 6 5 -$265M 5 C-suite
2025-11-21 – 2025-12-05 8 6 -$10.0M 6 C-suite
2025-12-16 – 2025-12-30 7 5 -$146M 1 C-suite
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-15 3 3 -$119M 2 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-09 5 5 -$16.5M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Slusky Alexander R -$11.8M Transaction at $118.08, now +27.2%
2026-03-09 Saintil Merline -$1.4M Transaction at $75.04, now +100.2%
2025-09-22 Spice Adam C. Chief Financial Officer -$39.9M Transaction at $24.55, now +512.0%
2026-03-04 Kampani Arjun SVP and General Counsel -$3.7M Transaction at $70.65, now +112.6%
2025-12-30 Frank Edward H. -$193,471.75 Transaction at $77.39, now +94.1%
2025-12-16 Saintil Merline -$975,000 Transaction at $65.00, now +131.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rocket Lab USA Inc. (RKLB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RKLB on Trend Edge →