SPCE — Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an aerospace and space travel company, focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies. It engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operation, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight systems for private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.51
Market Cap$258M
Float100.5M
Shares Outstanding104.5M
Price/Sales (TTM)196.94
vs. Analyst Target+1.1% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-28895.15%
Revenue (TTM)$1.3M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.55 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $238,000 -$645M $65,000 -$635M
2021 $3.3M -$353M $3.0M -$341M
2022 $2.3M -$500M $406,000 -$476M
2023 $6.8M -$502M -$43.7M -$476M
2024 $7.0M -$347M -$83.0M -$318M
2025 $1.5M -$279M -$87.7M -$267M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $406,000 -$67.3M
Sep 2025 $365,000 -$64.4M
Dec 2025 $312,000 -$62.7M
Mar 2026 $227,000 -$64.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership16.8%
Short Float21.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.81%
Number of Funds Holding149

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$34.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.17Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.78Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$23.73Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.40 support 2.03x 0 months ago
$6.00 resistance 1.16x 15 months ago
$7.40 resistance 1.07x 16 months ago
$18.20 resistance 2.93x 22 months ago
$29.60 resistance 1.55x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.65% -0.20% 40.00% 16.03% -17.58%
1 Day -0.17% -0.26% 40.00% 43.28% -17.60%
1 Week -2.55% -0.48% 40.00% 36.87% -35.39%
2 Weeks -6.22% -7.57% 29.41% 34.62% -51.79%
1 Month -5.10% -1.38% 32.35% 67.61% -54.82%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan11.7%44.4%9
Feb0.5%44.4%9
Mar-13.8%22.2%9
Apr-10.0%33.3%9
May4.7%37.5%8
Jun-3.0%50.0%8
Jul7.5%62.5%8
Aug-14.6%0.0%8
Sep-3.8%37.5%8
Oct-6.2%44.4%9
Nov9.2%44.4%9
Dec-2.7%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 41.8% 407
Tuesday 0.13% 44.4% 448
Wednesday -0.30% 44.4% 444
Thursday -0.30% 39.7% 436
Friday 0.15% 47.1% 437

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 16.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$257,885.28
Net Shares Change20,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Colglazier Michael A CEO and President -$106,895.44 1 1 sell
Ahrens Douglas T Chief Financial Officer -$88,188.8 1 1 sell
Strandberg Diana S. +$49,780 1 1 buy
Chitale Aparna CPO and EVP, Customer Operations -$33,405.6 1 1 sell
Kim Sarah E EVP, CLO and Corporate Secretary -$29,395.44 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-18 – 2026-03-18 4 4 -$257,885.28 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Strandberg Diana S. +$49,780 Transaction at $2.49, now +41.0%
2026-03-18 Kim Sarah E EVP, CLO and Corporate Secretary -$29,395.44 Transaction at $2.48, now +41.5%
2026-03-18 Colglazier Michael A CEO and President -$106,895.44 Transaction at $2.48, now +41.5%
2026-03-18 Chitale Aparna CPO and EVP, Customer Operations -$33,405.6 Transaction at $2.48, now +41.5%
2026-03-18 Ahrens Douglas T Chief Financial Officer -$88,188.8 Transaction at $2.48, now +41.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SPCE on Trend Edge →