VAL — Valaris Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VAL Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 41, actionability 47. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability47 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Valaris Ltd

Valaris Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services in Brazil, the United Kingdom, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO, and Other. The company owns an offshore drilling rig fleet, which includes drillships, dynamically positioned semisubmersible rigs, a moored semisubmersible rig, and jackup rigs. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$85.81
Market Cap$6.18B
Float61.1M
Shares Outstanding69.4M
P/E (Forward)29.07
P/E (TTM)6.55
Price/Sales (TTM)2.89
vs. Analyst Target-19.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin43.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.79%
Revenue (TTM)$2.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-55.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$69.05 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.43B -$4.86B -$43.2M -$119M
2021 $1.23B -$4.49B $165M $89.7M
2022 $1.60B $177M $219M $155M
2023 $1.78B $865M $241M $142M
2024 $2.36B $373M $602M $488M
2025 $2.37B $983M $593M $797M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $596M $188M
Dec 2025 $537M $718M
Mar 2026 $465M -$16.4M
Jun 2026 $539M $50.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.0%
Institutional Ownership94.4%
Short Float9.5%
% of All Funds Holding3.81%
Number of Funds Holding335

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$80.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$79.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$62.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$63.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$79.06Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$61.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$63.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$56.00 support 1.82x 5 months ago
$33.40 support 1.04x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.91% 0.43% 57.14% 7.65% -7.70%
1 Day -0.14% -0.12% 47.62% 10.03% -9.47%
1 Week 0.17% -1.31% 42.86% 15.97% -16.92%
2 Weeks 1.82% 1.99% 61.90% 21.02% -18.97%
1 Month 1.84% 1.20% 65.00% 31.96% -26.91%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.51% 55.5% 247
Tuesday 0.03% 51.1% 276
Wednesday -0.07% 47.4% 274
Thursday 0.08% 54.3% 267
Friday 0.22% 54.9% 268

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$1.7M
Net Shares Change-25,914
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Luca Gilles SVP - COO -$1.7M 1 1 sell
LEYKUM ELIZABETH -$248,432.16 1 1 sell
Johansen Kristian -$172,977.12 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-12 LEYKUM ELIZABETH -$248,432.16 Transaction at $88.98, now -3.6%
2026-06-12 Johansen Kristian -$172,977.12 Transaction at $88.98, now -3.6%
2025-09-05 Luca Gilles SVP - COO -$1.7M Transaction at $48.84, now +75.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Valaris Ltd (VAL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VAL on Trend Edge →