SOC — Sable Offshore Corp.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Sable Offshore Corp.

Sable Offshore Corp. operates as an independent oil and gas company in the United States. The company operates through three platforms located in federal waters offshore California. It also owns and operates 16 federal leases across approximately 76,000 acres, as well as subsea pipelines that transports crude oil, natural gas, and produced water from the platforms to the onshore processing facilities. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.13
Market Cap$2.25B
Float100.6M
Shares Outstanding154.4M
P/E (Forward)13.74
Price/Sales (TTM)1,769.53
vs. Analyst Target+110.7% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-9343.35%
Revenue (TTM)$1.3M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$27.67 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$1,657 N/A -$1,660
2021 N/A $4.3M N/A -$1.7M
2022 N/A -$2.6M N/A -$6.2M
2023 N/A -$93.7M -$21.0M -$72.7M
2024 N/A -$629M -$13.4M -$548M
2025 N/A -$410M -$14.5M -$297M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$128M
Sep 2025 N/A -$110M
Dec 2025 N/A -$62.2M
Mar 2026 $1.3M -$197M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership13.8%
Institutional Ownership99.1%
Short Float24.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.56%
Number of Funds Holding210

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.83Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.70 support 1.44x 1 months ago
$4.30 support 2.53x 4 months ago
$17.20 resistance 2.19x 6 months ago
$26.10 resistance 2.43x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.04% 0.00% 42.86% 17.61% -8.15%
1 Day 0.01% 0.00% 42.86% 14.87% -28.86%
1 Week 5.39% 0.09% 52.38% 71.76% -24.11%
2 Weeks 7.65% 0.10% 52.38% 95.52% -18.68%
1 Month 5.79% -0.14% 45.00% 78.18% -22.72%

Next earnings: August 10, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 43.0% 237
Tuesday 0.07% 46.6% 266
Wednesday -0.03% 44.1% 263
Thursday 0.54% 39.8% 256
Friday 0.10% 44.0% 259

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 13.8%

Founder-led management: James C. Flores (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$19.1M
Net Shares Change547,975
% of Float0.5%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Pilgrim Global ICAV +$11.1M 2 1 buy, 1 sell
Duenner Anthony EVP, General Counsel and Secretary -$5.7M 2 2 sell
Patrinely Gregory D. EVP, CFO -$5.7M 2 2 sell
Flores James Caldwell President, COO -$5.7M 2 2 sell
FLORES JAMES C Chairman and CEO -$1.9M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-02 – 2026-04-02 3 3 -$14.0M 3 C-suite
2026-04-30 – 2026-04-30 4 4 -$5.1M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-30 Patrinely Gregory D. EVP, CFO -$1.1M Transaction at $13.44, now -2.3%
2026-04-30 Flores James Caldwell President, COO -$1.1M Transaction at $13.44, now -2.3%
2026-04-30 Duenner Anthony EVP, General Counsel and Secretary -$1.1M Transaction at $13.44, now -2.3%
2026-04-02 Patrinely Gregory D. EVP, CFO -$4.7M Transaction at $16.69, now -21.3%
2026-04-02 Flores James Caldwell President, COO -$4.7M Transaction at $16.69, now -21.3%
2026-04-02 Duenner Anthony EVP, General Counsel and Secretary -$4.7M Transaction at $16.69, now -21.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SOC on Trend Edge →