HP — Helmerich and Payne Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HP Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 19, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction19
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Helmerich and Payne Inc

Helmerich & Payne, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling solutions and technologies for oil and gas exploration and production companies. The company operates through North America Solutions, Offshore Solutions, and International Solutions segments. The North America Solutions segment conducts operations primarily in Texas. The Offshore Solutions segment has drilling operations in Louisiana and in U.S. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$42.49
Market Cap$4.41B
Float95.9M
Shares Outstanding99.9M
P/E (Forward)39.37
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+1.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.10%
Revenue (TTM)$4.00B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-98.80%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$42.93 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.77B -$494M $107M -$130M
2021 $1.22B -$326M -$154M $13.8M
2022 $2.06B $7.0M $229M $454M
2023 $2.87B $434M $775M $993M
2024 $2.76B $344M $729M $907M
2025 $3.75B -$165M $554M $659M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.04B -$163M
Sep 2025 $1.01B -$57.4M
Dec 2025 $1.02B -$97.2M
Mar 2026 $932M -$58.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership105.1%
Short Float8.7%
% of All Funds Holding4.24%
Number of Funds Holding373

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$36.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$27.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$34.13Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$35.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$28.45Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$32.81Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.00 support 1.30x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.18% 0.00% 47.58% 6.73% -10.09%
1 Day -0.11% 0.00% 50.00% 12.02% -16.48%
1 Week 0.02% 0.53% 53.23% 29.42% -25.69%
2 Weeks 0.34% 0.08% 50.00% 32.51% -31.26%
1 Month 1.07% 0.34% 50.41% 37.60% -32.27%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.7%54.3%46
Feb2.2%58.7%46
Mar1.9%58.7%46
Apr2.5%58.7%46
May-1.0%45.7%46
Jun-0.8%47.8%46
Jul-0.1%47.8%46
Aug-0.3%46.7%45
Sep-0.8%46.7%45
Oct0.4%44.4%45
Nov0.4%47.8%46
Dec3.2%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 45.5% 2184
Tuesday 0.06% 47.1% 2370
Wednesday 0.12% 48.4% 2368
Thursday -0.01% 47.1% 2323
Friday 0.12% 47.9% 2309

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$4.6M
Net Shares Change-289,470
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
HELMERICH HANS -$6.3M 2 2 sell
Hair Cara M. SVP, CORP. SERVICES & CLO -$3.8M 3 3 sell
Momper Sara Marie VP, CAO -$425,757.75 2 2 sell
Lennox Michael EVP, WESTERN HEMISPHERE LAND -$375,000 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-12 – 2026-08-24 5 4 -$5.2M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-18 Momper Sara Marie VP, CAO -$223,791.12 Transaction at $44.28, now -4.0%
2026-08-18 Hair Cara M. SVP, CORP. SERVICES & CLO -$493,566.23 Transaction at $44.27, now -4.0%
2026-08-24 HELMERICH HANS -$4.1M Transaction at $43.90, now -3.2%
2026-05-19 Hair Cara M. SVP, CORP. SERVICES & CLO -$1.2M Transaction at $41.45, now +2.5%
2026-03-23 Hair Cara M. SVP, CORP. SERVICES & CLO -$2.2M Transaction at $36.62, now +16.0%
2025-12-04 Momper Sara Marie VP, CAO -$201,966.63 Transaction at $30.23, now +40.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Helmerich and Payne Inc (HP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HP on Trend Edge →