UWMC — UWM Holdings Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About UWM Holdings Corp

UWM Holdings Corporation engages in the origination, sale, and servicing residential mortgage lending in the United States. The company offers mortgage loans through wholesale channel. It originates primarily conforming and government loans. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Pontiac, Michigan. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.38
Market Cap$5.51B
Float268.3M
Shares Outstanding323.9M
P/E (Forward)8.23
P/E (TTM)11.27
Price/Sales (TTM)1.53
vs. Analyst Target+71.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)41.99%
Revenue (TTM)$3.61B
Earnings Growth (YoY)277.80%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$5.78 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.85B $3.38B $4.65B $3.96B
2021 $2.83B $98.4M $2.48B $1.62B
2022 $2.15B $41.7M $1.81B $984M
2023 $1.11B -$13.2M $755M -$26.2M
2024 $1.91B $14.4M $1.37B $385M
2025 $3.16B $27.4M $2.71B $832M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $785M $22.9M
Sep 2025 $471M -$1.3M
Dec 2025 $945M $19.4M
Mar 2026 $901M $170M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership13.5%
Institutional Ownership66.6%
Short Float13.6%
% of All Funds Holding3.33%
Number of Funds Holding257

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.98Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.14Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.73Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.20 resistance 1.66x 1 months ago
$5.60 resistance 1.50x 4 months ago
$6.40 resistance 1.52x 13 months ago
$8.50 resistance 1.97x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.10% -0.20% 37.50% 6.47% -10.03%
1 Day 0.05% 0.13% 50.00% 20.06% -18.01%
1 Week 1.64% 0.19% 54.17% 37.22% -19.16%
2 Weeks 0.32% -1.56% 45.83% 32.36% -26.89%
1 Month 5.42% 0.99% 54.17% 52.08% -23.73%

Next earnings: May 12, 2026 (1 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 45.4% 282
Tuesday -0.01% 46.5% 312
Wednesday 0.08% 48.7% 310
Thursday -0.19% 43.4% 302
Friday 0.16% 47.4% 302

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 66.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 13.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings85
Net Value-$643M
Net Shares Change128,142
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings85
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$92.3M 10 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-27 Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$11.2M Transaction at $3.73, now -9.3%
2026-04-20 Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$11.6M Transaction at $3.88, now -12.8%
2026-04-13 Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$11.3M Transaction at $3.76, now -10.1%
2026-05-06 Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$7.1M Transaction at $3.56, now -4.9%
2026-04-29 Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$7.1M Transaction at $3.58, now -5.6%
2026-04-22 Mat Ishbia President and CEO -$7.5M Transaction at $3.76, now -10.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for UWM Holdings Corp (UWMC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UWMC on Trend Edge →