ONIT — Onity Group Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ONIT Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 15, actionability 122. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction15
Actionability122 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Onity Group Inc.

Onity Group Inc., a financial services company, originates and services forward and reserve mortgage loans in the United States, the United States Virgin Islands, India, and the Philippines. The company operates through the Servicing and Originations segments. The company offers owned mortgage servicing rights and subservicing products; conventional, government-insured, and non-agency mortgage loans, as well as reverse mortgage and multi-family l… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$35.82
Market Cap$300M
Float6.2M
Shares Outstanding8.4M
P/E (Forward)13.07
P/E (TTM)2.26
Price/Sales (TTM)0.26
vs. Analyst Target+46.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.35%
Operating Margin (TTM)50.87%
Revenue (TTM)$1.15B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-70.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$52.50 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $977M -$40.2M $525M $176M
2021 $1.08B $18.1M $521M $236M
2022 $1.00B $25.7M $459M $286M
2023 $1.14B -$63.7M $585M $239M
2024 $1.07B $33.9M $496M $256M
2025 $1.07B $190M $1.01B $580M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $318M $18.7M
Dec 2025 $308M $127M
Mar 2026 $294M $7.6M
Jun 2026 $283M -$11.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership19.5%
Institutional Ownership60.9%
Short Float5.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.22%
Number of Funds Holding107

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$38.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$41.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$39.04Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$33.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$40.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$38.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$33.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$34.30 support 1.41x 1 months ago
$45.00 resistance 1.44x 2 months ago
$32.50 support 1.48x 15 months ago
$30.70 support 1.59x 18 months ago
$28.70 support 1.70x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.37% 0.03% 52.53% 43.08% -20.77%
1 Day -0.28% -0.37% 46.46% 41.54% -44.33%
1 Week 0.67% 0.10% 51.52% 84.62% -39.03%
2 Weeks 0.89% -1.03% 45.45% 83.08% -38.52%
1 Month 2.26% 0.43% 51.02% 106.98% -45.05%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.8%43.3%30
Feb-0.5%46.7%30
Mar-1.9%50.0%30
Apr0.0%50.0%30
May5.5%56.7%30
Jun0.9%53.3%30
Jul4.1%60.0%30
Aug1.1%51.7%29
Sep-1.4%51.7%29
Oct4.6%53.3%30
Nov1.3%56.7%30
Dec1.8%53.3%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 46.2% 1415
Tuesday 0.11% 47.7% 1545
Wednesday 0.01% 48.4% 1543
Thursday 0.09% 50.1% 1514
Friday 0.19% 48.2% 1506

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 60.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 19.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change0
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Peach James Andrew EVP & Chief Lending Officer +N/A 2 2 sell
ZELENY DENNIS EVP & Chief Admin. Officer +N/A 1 1 sell
Wade Aaron D EVP & Chief Inv. Officer +N/A 1 1 sell
Samarias Joseph J EVP & Chief Legal Officer +N/A 1 1 sell
O'Neil Sean Bradley EVP & Chief Financial Officer +N/A 1 1 sell
Evans Jenna D. Chief Risk & Compliance +N/A 1 1 sell
Bradfield Richard J. EVP, Strategic Initiatives +N/A 1 1 sell
Anderson Scott William EVP & Chief Servicing Officer +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-17 – 2026-03-17 8 8 +N/A 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-07 Peach James Andrew EVP & Chief Lending Officer +N/A N/A
2026-03-17 ZELENY DENNIS EVP & Chief Admin. Officer +N/A N/A
2026-03-17 Wade Aaron D EVP & Chief Inv. Officer +N/A N/A
2026-03-17 Samarias Joseph J EVP & Chief Legal Officer +N/A N/A
2026-03-17 Peach James Andrew EVP & Chief Lending Officer +N/A N/A
2026-03-17 O'Neil Sean Bradley EVP & Chief Financial Officer +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Onity Group Inc. (ONIT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ONIT on Trend Edge →