UMAC — Unusual Machines, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UMAC Bullish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 35, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score49
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction35
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Unusual Machines, Inc.

Unusual Machines, Inc. engages in the commercial drone industry. The company offers small drones and essential components. It distributes their products through B2B sale, e-commerce site, and retail channel. The company has a strategic collaboration with Lantronix Inc. for the development of autonomous drone components integrating edge AI compute with flight control systems. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.81
Market Cap$991M
Float44.8M
Shares Outstanding47.8M
P/E (Forward)75.19
Price/Sales (TTM)57.43
vs. Analyst Target+79.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-32.72%
Operating Margin (TTM)-89.66%
Revenue (TTM)$17.3M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$33.67 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4,989 -$161,876 $4,989 -$161,879
2022 N/A -$1.2M -$885 -$1.2M
2023 $158M -$2.4M $158M -$2.4M
2024 $5.6M -$32.0M $1.5M -$31.8M
2025 $11.2M -$19.2M $3.8M -$25.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.1M -$7.0M
Sep 2025 $2.1M $1.6M
Dec 2025 $4.9M -$10.6M
Mar 2026 $8.1M $10.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.3%
Institutional Ownership57.3%
Short Float13.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.61%
Number of Funds Holding132

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$15.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.27Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.70 support 1.81x 1 months ago
$5.50 support 2.51x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (9 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.77% -1.55% 22.22% 1.82% -8.92%
1 Day -2.18% -1.49% 33.33% 7.06% -12.11%
1 Week 8.30% 4.12% 66.67% 39.09% -26.15%
2 Weeks 45.08% -2.64% 44.44% 368.01% -26.70%
1 Month 38.01% 6.89% 50.00% 260.25% -20.72%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (31 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.39% 49.6% 115
Tuesday -0.37% 42.7% 124
Wednesday 0.78% 43.8% 121
Thursday 1.62% 54.2% 118
Friday 1.60% 47.1% 119

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 57.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$8.8M
Net Shares Change-236,066
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Camden Andrew Ross President -$3.5M 2 2 sell
Hoff Brian Joseph Chief Financial Officer -$3.5M 3 1 sell
Thompson Jeffrey M -$815,700 1 1 sell
Rich Sanford -$615,685.52 2 1 sell
Wright Stacy Rochelle Chief Revenue Officer -$255,305.875 1 N/A
Evans Allan Thomas Chief Executive Officer +$108,856.98 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-21 – 2025-11-21 3 3 -$234,132.449 2 C-suite
2026-03-17 – 2026-03-17 4 4 -$666,028.18 3 C-suite
2026-05-22 – 2026-06-05 6 3 -$6.7M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-05 Camden Andrew Ross President -$3.0M Transaction at $30.05, now -37.4%
2026-06-09 Thompson Jeffrey M -$815,700 Transaction at $27.19, now -30.8%
2025-12-15 Hoff Brian Joseph Chief Financial Officer -$773,572.5 Transaction at $10.31, now +82.4%
2025-12-15 Camden Andrew Ross Chief Operating Officer -$515,760 Transaction at $10.32, now +82.4%
2026-05-29 Hoff Brian Joseph Chief Financial Officer -$2.7M Transaction at $17.71, now +6.2%
2025-12-31 Evans Allan Thomas Chief Executive Officer +$108,856.98 Transaction at $1.99, now +845.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UMAC on Trend Edge →