UMAC — Unusual Machines, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Unusual Machines, Inc.

Unusual Machines, Inc. engages in the commercial drone industry. The company offers small drones and essential components. It distributes their products through B2B sale, e-commerce site, and retail channel. The company has a strategic collaboration with Lantronix Inc. for the development of autonomous drone components integrating edge AI compute with flight control systems. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.42
Market Cap$645M
Float36.2M
Shares Outstanding47.8M
P/E (Forward)34.48
Price/Sales (TTM)57.60
vs. Analyst Target+80.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-171.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)-198.68%
Revenue (TTM)$11.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$24.20 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4,989 -$161,876 $4,989 -$161,879
2022 N/A -$1.2M -$885 -$1.2M
2023 $158M -$2.4M $158M -$2.4M
2024 $5.6M -$32.0M $1.5M -$31.8M
2025 $11.2M -$19.2M $3.8M -$25.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $2.0M -$3.3M
Jun 2025 $2.1M -$7.0M
Sep 2025 $2.1M $1.6M
Dec 2025 $4.9M -$10.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.0%
Institutional Ownership32.8%
Short Float18.2%
% of All Funds Holding1.13%
Number of Funds Holding87

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.91Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.50 support 2.51x 10 months ago
$16.80 resistance 1.10x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (7 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.55% -1.55% 14.29% 0.23% -7.37%
1 Day -2.44% -1.49% 28.57% 7.06% -12.11%
1 Week 5.22% 4.12% 71.43% 36.65% -26.15%
2 Weeks 43.33% -6.46% 28.57% 368.01% -26.70%
1 Month 39.54% -2.14% 42.86% 260.25% -20.72%

Next earnings: May 14, 2026 (3 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.59% 50.5% 107
Tuesday -0.48% 42.6% 115
Wednesday 0.85% 42.9% 112
Thursday 0.96% 53.2% 109
Friday 1.74% 47.3% 112

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 32.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$3.3M
Net Shares Change28,579
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hoff Brian Joseph Chief Financial Officer -$1.3M 3 1 sell
Camden Andrew Ross Chief Operating Officer -$845,385 3 2 sell
Wright Stacy Rochelle Chief Revenue Officer -$255,305.875 1 N/A
Evans Allan Thomas Chief Executive Officer +$108,856.98 1 1 sell
Rich Sanford +$108,856.98 1 1 sell
Colon Cristina -$74,882.449 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-21 – 2025-11-21 3 3 -$234,132.449 2 C-suite
2026-03-17 – 2026-03-17 4 4 -$666,028.18 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-15 Hoff Brian Joseph Chief Financial Officer -$773,572.5 Transaction at $10.31, now +30.1%
2025-12-15 Camden Andrew Ross Chief Operating Officer -$515,760 Transaction at $10.32, now +30.1%
2025-12-31 Evans Allan Thomas Chief Executive Officer +$108,856.98 Transaction at $1.99, now +574.4%
2025-12-31 Rich Sanford +$108,856.98 Transaction at $1.99, now +574.4%
2025-06-17 Camden Andrew Ross Chief Operating Officer -$250,000 Transaction at $10.00, now +34.2%
2026-03-17 Wright Stacy Rochelle Chief Revenue Officer -$255,305.875 Transaction at $18.57, now -27.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UMAC on Trend Edge →