TWLO — Twilio Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TWLO Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 52, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Twilio Inc

Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$228.46
Market Cap$33.77B
Float152.9M
Shares Outstanding153.6M
P/E (Forward)37.17
P/E (TTM)30.41
Price/Sales (TTM)6.06
vs. Analyst Target+9.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.83%
Revenue (TTM)$5.57B
Earnings Growth (YoY)4671.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$250.08 (31 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.76B -$491M $916M -$343M
2021 $2.84B -$950M $1.39B -$703M
2022 $3.83B -$1.26B $1.81B -$965M
2023 $4.15B -$1.02B $2.04B -$712M
2024 $4.46B -$109M $2.28B $117M
2025 $5.07B $33.8M $2.48B $251M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.30B $37.2M
Dec 2025 $1.37B -$45.9M
Mar 2026 $1.41B $90.1M
Jun 2026 $1.50B $1.07B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership93.3%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding10.80%
Number of Funds Holding950

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$214.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$163.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$136.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$95.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$161.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$139.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$103.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$200.00 support 1.03x 0 months ago
$99.00 support 1.11x 14 months ago
$81.00 support 1.21x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (41 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.83% 2.42% 58.54% 24.51% -27.52%
1 Day 1.37% 0.34% 51.22% 39.62% -34.61%
1 Week 2.97% -1.85% 46.34% 56.75% -30.91%
2 Weeks 3.87% -0.92% 48.78% 58.50% -26.90%
1 Month 3.83% 0.01% 50.00% 58.72% -39.82%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.2%60.0%10
Feb1.4%60.0%10
Mar-4.3%40.0%10
Apr2.6%60.0%10
May13.8%50.0%10
Jun3.9%70.0%10
Jul4.2%81.8%11
Aug2.5%40.0%10
Sep-1.6%40.0%10
Oct-0.7%50.0%10
Nov4.6%50.0%10
Dec-0.9%40.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.21% 55.4% 478
Tuesday 0.06% 47.5% 526
Wednesday 0.28% 51.6% 523
Thursday 0.09% 51.8% 514
Friday 0.13% 54.3% 514

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 93.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings33
Net Value-$35.7M
Net Shares Change-3,369,131
% of Float-2.2%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Stafman Andrew -$567M 4 4 sell
Shipchandler Khozema Chief Executive Officer -$5.8M 2 N/A
Viggiano Aidan Chief Financial Officer -$3.6M 2 N/A
ROTTENBERG ERIKA -$1.3M 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-27 – 2026-06-08 4 3 -$193M 2 C-suite
2026-08-12 – 2026-08-19 3 3 -$125M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Stafman Andrew -$124M Transaction at $247.08, now -7.5%
2026-05-27 Stafman Andrew -$184M Transaction at $184.14, now +24.1%
2026-05-12 Stafman Andrew -$131M Transaction at $193.54, now +18.0%
2026-08-12 ROTTENBERG ERIKA -$881,378.4 Transaction at $251.82, now -9.3%
2025-12-02 Stafman Andrew -$129M Transaction at $129.00, now +77.1%
2026-07-08 Shipchandler Khozema Chief Executive Officer -$3.0M Transaction at $210.43, now +8.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Twilio Inc (TWLO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TWLO on Trend Edge →