TNL — Travel + Leisure Co

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Travel + Leisure Co

Travel + Leisure Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides hospitality services and travel products in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Vacation Ownership; and Travel and Membership. The Vacation Ownership segment develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) to individual consumers, as well as offers consumer financing in connection with the sale of VOIs; and property management … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$68.75
Market Cap$4.05B
Float61.0M
Shares Outstanding62.4M
P/E (Forward)8.92
P/E (TTM)18.07
Price/Sales (TTM)1.00
vs. Analyst Target+25.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.83%
Revenue (TTM)$4.05B
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.00%
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$86.08 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.16B -$253M $932M $42.0M
2021 $3.13B $308M $1.57B $751M
2022 $3.57B $357M $1.73B $800M
2023 $3.75B $396M $1.82B $848M
2024 $3.86B $411M $1.89B $877M
2025 $4.02B $230M $1.09B $828M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.02B $108M
Sep 2025 $1.04B $111M
Dec 2025 $1.03B -$61.0M
Mar 2026 $961M $79.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership100.6%
Short Float4.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.43%
Number of Funds Holding446

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$68.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$67.78Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$59.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$48.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$67.04Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$59.22Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$50.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$69.00 resistance 1.42x 0 months ago
$59.00 support 1.04x 8 months ago
$52.00 support 1.28x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% 0.15% 62.50% 7.66% -3.15%
1 Day 0.51% 0.54% 62.50% 7.60% -12.85%
1 Week -0.56% -0.47% 47.50% 17.48% -19.93%
2 Weeks -1.09% -0.39% 48.75% 30.24% -36.54%
1 Month 0.25% -0.20% 46.84% 66.77% -47.71%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%50.0%20
Feb3.6%70.0%20
Mar-1.8%55.0%20
Apr9.8%50.0%20
May0.5%52.6%19
Jun-2.7%42.1%19
Jul3.8%68.4%19
Aug-1.1%35.0%20
Sep-1.5%50.0%20
Oct0.0%65.0%20
Nov3.1%70.0%20
Dec3.3%75.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 48.4% 936
Tuesday 0.22% 51.1% 1026
Wednesday 0.08% 52.4% 1024
Thursday 0.01% 50.6% 1005
Friday 0.14% 52.3% 1002

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings34
Net Value-$37.1M
Net Shares Change-178,375
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings28
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Savina James J General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$3.1M 2 2 sell
Brown Michael Dean President and CEO -$1.9M 1 1 sell
RICHARDS GEOFFREY Chief Operating Officer, Vacation Ownership. -$1.4M 1 1 sell
MYERS JEFFREY Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, Vacation Ownership -$1.4M 1 1 sell
MARSHALL KIMBERLY Chief Human Resources Officer -$806,002.96 1 1 sell
ESFAHANI SY Chief Technology Officer -$718,809.84 1 1 sell
Post Denny Marie -$159,575 1 1 sell
Duncan Thomas Michael SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$94,305.12 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-24 – 2025-08-01 7 6 -$9.6M 7 C-suite
2025-10-23 – 2025-10-31 6 4 -$8.3M 5 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-19 9 8 -$9.6M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-23 Hoag Erik D Chief Financial Officer +$65,670 Transaction at $65.67, now +4.7%
2026-03-19 Savina James J General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$2.2M Transaction at $70.38, now -2.3%
2026-03-12 RICHARDS GEOFFREY Chief Operating Officer, Vacation Ownership. -$1.4M Transaction at $71.12, now -3.3%
2026-03-12 MYERS JEFFREY Chief Sales and Marketing Officer, Vacation Ownership -$1.4M Transaction at $71.12, now -3.3%
2026-03-12 Brown Michael Dean President and CEO -$1.9M Transaction at $71.12, now -3.3%
2026-03-12 Savina James J General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$839,144.88 Transaction at $71.12, now -3.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Travel + Leisure Co (TNL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TNL on Trend Edge →