RCL — Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company operates cruises under the Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises brands, which comprise a range of itineraries. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 69 ships. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$256.10
Market Cap$69.82B
Float254.4M
Shares Outstanding268.2M
P/E (Forward)14.16
P/E (TTM)15.48
Price/Sales (TTM)3.80
vs. Analyst Target+32.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin24.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)26.17%
Revenue (TTM)$18.39B
Earnings Growth (YoY)28.90%
Dividend Rate5.0%
Analyst Target Price$340.46 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.21B -$5.80B -$556M -$3.65B
2021 $1.53B -$5.26B -$1.21B -$2.67B
2022 $8.84B -$2.16B $2.22B $615M
2023 $13.90B $1.70B $6.13B $4.56B
2024 $16.48B $2.88B $7.83B $6.09B
2025 $17.93B $4.27B $8.40B $6.91B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.54B $1.21B
Sep 2025 $5.14B $1.58B
Dec 2025 $4.26B $754M
Mar 2026 $4.45B $941M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership90.3%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding13.48%
Number of Funds Holding1,108

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$268.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$293.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$273.71Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$171.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$294.94Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$272.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$194.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$255.00 support 1.17x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.22% 0.20% 56.20% 7.28% -6.88%
1 Day 0.71% 0.46% 54.55% 12.99% -17.32%
1 Week 0.35% 0.60% 55.37% 15.95% -24.41%
2 Weeks 1.62% 1.25% 57.85% 31.17% -29.05%
1 Month 1.48% 3.28% 59.17% 49.80% -59.09%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%57.6%33
Feb-1.6%48.5%33
Mar-0.1%51.5%33
Apr3.0%45.5%33
May2.2%63.6%33
Jun-1.5%45.5%33
Jul3.6%60.6%33
Aug2.3%54.5%33
Sep0.1%63.6%33
Oct3.9%69.7%33
Nov4.8%66.7%33
Dec4.4%60.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 47.6% 1564
Tuesday 0.16% 48.3% 1708
Wednesday 0.11% 48.4% 1706
Thursday 0.17% 51.9% 1674
Friday 0.06% 48.4% 1668

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$79.9M
Net Shares Change-2,006,045
% of Float-0.8%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wilhelmsen Arne Alexander -$458M 3 3 sell
Liberty Jason T President and CEO -$29.7M 1 1 sell
Bayley Michael W PresandCEO, Royal Caribbean Intl -$26.1M 1 1 sell
Holtz Naftali Chief Financial Officer -$16.7M 1 1 sell
Pujol Henry L Chief Accounting Officer -$3.2M 2 2 sell
BETHGE LAURA H President, Celebrity Cruises -$2.6M 1 1 sell
Montiel Maritza Gomez -$453,137.375 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-13 – 2026-02-27 10 7 -$627M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-27 Wilhelmsen Arne Alexander -$244M Transaction at $315.67, now -18.9%
2026-02-13 Liberty Jason T President and CEO -$29.7M Transaction at $326.81, now -21.6%
2026-02-13 Holtz Naftali Chief Financial Officer -$16.7M Transaction at $327.39, now -21.8%
2026-02-13 Bayley Michael W PresandCEO, Royal Caribbean Intl -$26.1M Transaction at $326.82, now -21.6%
2026-02-18 BETHGE LAURA H President, Celebrity Cruises -$2.6M Transaction at $326.21, now -21.5%
2026-02-13 Pujol Henry L Chief Accounting Officer -$1.5M Transaction at $327.99, now -21.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RCL on Trend Edge →