EXPE — Expedia Group Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EXPE Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 34, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction34
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Expedia Group Inc.

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$337.97
Market Cap$38.91B
Float113.6M
Shares Outstanding114.5M
P/E (Forward)16.78
P/E (TTM)20.53
Price/Sales (TTM)2.48
vs. Analyst Target-0.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.98%
Revenue (TTM)$15.70B
Earnings Growth (YoY)188.70%
Dividend Rate1.9%
Analyst Target Price$336.23 (37 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.20B -$2.61B $3.52B -$428M
2021 $8.60B $12.0M $7.05B $1.08B
2022 $11.67B $352M $10.01B $1.61B
2023 $12.84B $797M $11.27B $2.07B
2024 $13.69B $1.23B $12.25B $2.63B
2025 $14.73B $1.29B $13.28B $2.78B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $4.41B $959M
Dec 2025 $3.55B $205M
Mar 2026 $3.43B -$6.0M
Jun 2026 $4.32B $878M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership108.7%
Short Float6.9%
% of All Funds Holding12.59%
Number of Funds Holding1,107

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$292.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$257.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$224.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$166.13Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$261.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$223.57Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$178.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$209.00 support 1.18x 4 months ago
$178.00 support 1.10x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (85 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.98% 1.07% 56.47% 20.10% -23.19%
1 Day 0.41% 0.38% 52.94% 23.54% -27.39%
1 Week 0.97% 1.69% 55.29% 25.68% -29.55%
2 Weeks 0.46% 1.41% 52.94% 43.80% -30.04%
1 Month 2.00% 3.41% 58.33% 46.56% -58.72%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%61.9%21
Feb-1.3%42.9%21
Mar-0.2%57.1%21
Apr5.9%61.9%21
May-0.1%61.9%21
Jun1.1%66.7%21
Jul6.3%71.4%21
Aug1.1%38.1%21
Sep1.1%52.4%21
Oct-0.4%61.9%21
Nov6.4%57.1%21
Dec-1.2%47.6%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 49.9% 995
Tuesday 0.21% 53.0% 1089
Wednesday 0.02% 50.2% 1089
Thursday 0.02% 51.1% 1068
Friday 0.18% 51.7% 1064

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$7.2M
Net Shares Change-28,016
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dzielak Robert J Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y -$5.6M 5 5 sell
Soliday Lance A SVP & Chief Accounting Officer -$1.5M 4 4 sell
Jacobson Craig A -$1.0M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-13 – 2026-08-25 5 3 -$4.7M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-20 Soliday Lance A SVP & Chief Accounting Officer -$909,456.5 Transaction at $323.65, now +4.4%
2026-08-13 Dzielak Robert J Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y -$945,945 Transaction at $315.00, now +7.3%
2026-08-18 Dzielak Robert J Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y -$1.4M Transaction at $331.60, now +1.9%
2026-08-25 Dzielak Robert J Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y -$336,340 Transaction at $335.00, now +0.9%
2026-08-17 Jacobson Craig A -$1.0M Transaction at $328.52, now +2.9%
2026-06-08 Dzielak Robert J Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y -$1.1M Transaction at $233.00, now +45.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EXPE on Trend Edge →