THRM — Gentherm Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates THRM Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 27, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Gentherm Inc

Gentherm Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and sells thermal management and pneumatic comfort technologies in the United States, China, Germany, Czech Republic, South Korea, Mexico, Slovakia, Romania, Japan, United Kingdom and internationally. It operates in two segments, Automotive and Medical. The company offers climate comfort systems, including seat heaters, blowers, and thermoelectric devices for variable temperature climate cont… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$40.17
Market Cap$1.25B
Float30.1M
Shares Outstanding30.7M
P/E (Forward)15.13
P/E (TTM)47.29
Price/Sales (TTM)0.79
vs. Analyst Target+18.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.10%
Revenue (TTM)$1.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)798.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$47.71 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $913M $59.7M $268M $136M
2021 $1.05B $93.4M $304M $158M
2022 $1.20B $24.4M $274M $99.6M
2023 $1.47B $40.3M $352M $153M
2024 $1.46B $64.9M $366M $176M
2025 $1.49B $18.3M $352M $103M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $383M $14.9M
Dec 2025 $383M $3.0M
Mar 2026 $394M $4.2M
Jun 2026 $416M $4.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.0%
Institutional Ownership108.8%
Short Float5.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.90%
Number of Funds Holding255

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$39.02Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$34.59Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$32.98Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$45.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.42Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$42.01Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$34.20 support 1.86x 0 months ago
$30.20 support 1.03x 2 months ago
$46.00 resistance 1.64x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.20% 0.00% 48.21% 9.52% -9.70%
1 Day 0.32% 0.00% 43.75% 26.52% -18.41%
1 Week -0.22% -0.44% 46.43% 45.45% -40.89%
2 Weeks -0.01% -0.46% 45.54% 145.45% -39.92%
1 Month -0.49% -1.90% 46.85% 90.91% -48.72%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.8%57.6%33
Feb8.7%51.5%33
Mar-0.3%54.5%33
Apr0.6%36.4%33
May2.8%54.5%33
Jun4.3%51.5%33
Jul3.3%52.9%34
Aug-2.5%45.5%33
Sep-2.3%42.4%33
Oct0.6%39.4%33
Nov2.9%57.6%33
Dec-0.8%51.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.21% 43.4% 1572
Tuesday 0.21% 46.9% 1716
Wednesday 0.18% 44.0% 1714
Thursday 0.23% 45.7% 1681
Friday 0.24% 45.4% 1674

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$243,056.25
Net Shares Change-5,625
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kauffman Wayne S III SVP and General Counsel -$203,087 1 1 sell
Nicholas Breisacher Chief Accounting Officer -$39,969.25 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-30 Kauffman Wayne S III SVP and General Counsel -$203,087 Transaction at $43.21, now -7.0%
2026-08-18 Nicholas Breisacher Chief Accounting Officer -$39,969.25 Transaction at $43.21, now -7.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Gentherm Inc (THRM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for THRM on Trend Edge →