AUR — Aurora Innovation Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aurora Innovation Inc

Aurora Innovation, Inc. engages in the self-driving technology business in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate various vehicle types and applications. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.81
Market Cap$14.11B
Float1.25B
Shares Outstanding1.65B
Price/Sales (TTM)3,527.71
vs. Analyst Target+55.1% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-24400.00%
Revenue (TTM)$4.0M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.56 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$214M -$179M -$215M
2021 $82.0M -$755M -$615M -$715M
2022 $68.0M -$1.72B -$609M -$716M
2023 N/A -$796M -$716M -$814M
2024 N/A -$748M -$676M -$765M
2025 $3.0M -$816M -$14.0M -$871M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.0M -$201M
Sep 2025 $1.0M -$201M
Dec 2025 $1.0M -$206M
Mar 2026 $1.0M -$223M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership24.3%
Institutional Ownership78.0%
Short Float15.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.79%
Number of Funds Holding394

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.95Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.20 support 1.11x 0 months ago
$7.60 resistance 2.12x 11 months ago
$3.80 support 1.36x 20 months ago
$2.80 support 1.23x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.09% 0.00% 42.86% 7.43% -14.01%
1 Day 0.71% -0.41% 38.10% 46.05% -21.76%
1 Week -2.11% -1.10% 42.86% 24.23% -21.88%
2 Weeks -3.61% -1.38% 42.86% 25.46% -23.35%
1 Month -5.84% -2.91% 45.00% 32.04% -33.51%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 47.4% 234
Tuesday 0.02% 46.4% 263
Wednesday 0.02% 45.0% 260
Thursday -0.09% 45.8% 253
Friday 0.52% 49.2% 256

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 24.3%

Founder-led management: Chris Urmson (Chief Executive Officer and Chairman), Drew Bagnell (Chief Scientist)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$1.0M
Net Shares Change1,526,594
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hoffman Reid -$45.5M 1 1 sell
Urmson Christopher Chief Executive Officer +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Donahoe John J +$989,460.249 1 1 buy
Boyland Gloria R. -$272,672.974 1 1 sell
Bagley Brittany -$269,675 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-19 Hoffman Reid -$45.5M Transaction at $7.79, now -12.6%
2025-11-26 Urmson Christopher Chief Executive Officer +$1.0M Transaction at $3.88, now +75.6%
2025-08-07 Donahoe John J +$989,460.249 Transaction at $6.10, now +11.7%
2025-10-02 Bagley Brittany -$269,675 Transaction at $5.39, now +26.3%
2025-06-09 Boyland Gloria R. -$272,672.974 Transaction at $5.92, now +15.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AUR on Trend Edge →