SES — SES AI Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SES Bearish with a Setup Score of 37, net conviction 40, actionability 35. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score37
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction40
Actionability35 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About SES AI Corp

SES AI Corporation develops and produces AI enhanced lithium metal and lithium-ion rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles, urban air mobility, drones, robotics, battery energy storage systems, and other applications. It manufactures and sells residential and commercial ESS systems, li-ion, li metal battery cells and battery materials, such as electrolytes for automotive original equipment manufacturers and others. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.54
Market Cap$189M
Float286.8M
Shares Outstanding327.4M
Price/Sales (TTM)8.05
vs. Analyst Target+372.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-289.64%
Operating Margin (TTM)-378.47%
Revenue (TTM)$23.5M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.55 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$13.9M N/A -$12.2M
2021 N/A -$31.3M -$1.7M -$29.6M
2022 N/A -$51.0M -$2.6M -$47.1M
2023 N/A -$53.4M -$5.5M -$48.7M
2024 $2.0M -$100M $1.3M -$91.7M
2025 $21.0M -$73.0M $11.3M -$62.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $7.1M -$20.9M
Dec 2025 $4.6M -$17.0M
Mar 2026 $6.7M -$12.1M
Jun 2026 $5.1M -$17.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.7%
Institutional Ownership37.1%
Short Float15.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.48%
Number of Funds Holding130

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.65Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.30Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.27Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.28Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.41Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.90 resistance 1.66x 0 months ago
$1.50 resistance 1.03x 4 months ago
$0.40 support 6.06x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.45% 0.00% 47.83% 15.70% -26.90%
1 Day -0.04% 0.00% 47.83% 14.89% -36.84%
1 Week -2.91% -1.97% 39.13% 42.13% -28.65%
2 Weeks -2.72% -3.21% 43.48% 65.21% -42.92%
1 Month -6.49% -6.71% 36.36% 73.00% -54.66%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 45.5% 257
Tuesday -0.39% 40.0% 285
Wednesday -0.03% 45.2% 283
Thursday -0.11% 40.2% 276
Friday 0.63% 51.4% 276

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.7%

Founder-led management: Qichao Hu (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$1.1M
Net Shares Change-50,000
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gan Hong CHIEF SCIENCE OFFICER -$1.0M 3 N/A
Pilkington Kyle CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$60,007.5 2 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-27 Pilkington Kyle CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$30,007.5 Transaction at $1.20, now -55.0%
2026-03-11 Pilkington Kyle CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$30,000 Transaction at $1.20, now -55.0%
2026-01-23 Gan Hong CHIEF SCIENCE OFFICER -$584,700 Transaction at $1.33, now -59.4%
2025-12-16 Gan Hong CHIEF SCIENCE OFFICER -$182,820 Transaction at $1.06, now -49.3%
2025-11-18 Gan Hong CHIEF SCIENCE OFFICER -$262,725 Transaction at $1.03, now -47.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for SES AI Corp (SES) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SES on Trend Edge →