TFPM — Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$30.60
Market Cap$6.59B
Float69.6M
Shares Outstanding206.6M
P/E (Forward)23.42
P/E (TTM)21.12
Price/Sales (TTM)14.53
vs. Analyst Target+39.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin68.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)66.92%
Revenue (TTM)$453M
Earnings Growth (YoY)147.20%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$42.75 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $113M $55.6M $50.1M $126M
2021 $150M $45.5M $83.3M $112M
2022 $152M $55.1M $87.0M $114M
2023 $204M $36.3M $102M $109M
2024 $269M -$23.1M $231M $205M
2025 $396M $244M $267M $316M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $94.1M $55.7M
Sep 2025 $93.5M $61.9M
Dec 2025 $121M $78.0M
Mar 2026 $145M $115M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.5%
Institutional Ownership88.0%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.62%
Number of Funds Holding215

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.26Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$32.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.39Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$32.34Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$41.00 resistance 1.35x 1 months ago
$23.30 support 1.45x 8 months ago
$20.40 support 1.95x 11 months ago
$19.30 support 1.56x 12 months ago
$14.60 support 1.57x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (16 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.22% 0.00% 37.50% 5.17% -2.60%
1 Day 0.49% -0.12% 50.00% 7.47% -7.09%
1 Week 2.16% 1.71% 62.50% 16.05% -11.83%
2 Weeks 2.93% 2.83% 62.50% 15.28% -16.14%
1 Month 4.47% 5.20% 66.67% 18.84% -11.94%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.33% 58.6% 174
Tuesday 0.06% 51.5% 194
Wednesday 0.19% 48.4% 192
Thursday 0.04% 50.5% 186
Friday 0.07% 51.1% 190

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TFPM on Trend Edge →