PPTA — Perpetua Resources Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PPTA Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 34, actionability 64. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction34
Actionability64 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Perpetua Resources Corp

Perpetua Resources Corp., a development-stage company, engages in the acquisition of mining properties in the United States. The company explores gold, silver, and antimony deposits. Its principal mineral project is the 100% owned Stibnite Gold project, which includes 1,674 unpatented lode claims, mill sites, and patented land holdings covering an area of approximately 11,526 hectares located in Valley County, Idaho. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.77
Market Cap$3.13B
Float83.9M
Shares Outstanding125.1M
P/E (Forward)1,000.00
vs. Analyst Target+43.2% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$36.90 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$221M -$284,414 -$217M
2021 N/A -$36.0M -$12.3M -$23.3M
2022 N/A -$28.7M -$4.6M -$24.1M
2023 N/A -$18.8M -$981,914 -$17.8M
2024 N/A -$14.5M -$1.6M -$12.8M
2025 N/A -$100M -$168,000 -$113M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$25.8M
Dec 2025 N/A -$60.4M
Mar 2026 N/A -$48.6M
Jun 2026 N/A -$97.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.9%
Institutional Ownership72.6%
Short Float13.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.90%
Number of Funds Holding255

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$26.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$26.12Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$20.56Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.07Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.40 support 1.20x 11 months ago
$12.40 support 2.42x 12 months ago
$10.60 support 1.71x 15 months ago
$8.90 support 1.70x 16 months ago
$6.70 support 2.11x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.57% 0.00% 43.48% 2.40% -7.11%
1 Day -0.10% 0.00% 43.48% 8.79% -22.66%
1 Week 2.03% 0.19% 52.17% 55.34% -21.88%
2 Weeks 4.27% -3.60% 45.45% 54.48% -21.90%
1 Month 5.25% -1.23% 45.45% 50.17% -23.62%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.26% 46.7% 259
Tuesday 0.32% 52.1% 286
Wednesday 0.00% 44.4% 284
Thursday 0.28% 50.9% 277
Friday 0.07% 47.5% 278

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$2.6M
Net Shares Change58,507
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lyon Mckinsey Margaret (5) Senior Vice President, External Affairs at Perpetua Resources Idaho, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Perpetua Resources Corp. -$2.0M 3 3 sell
Cherry Jonathan (3) President and CEO. -$473,244.41 2 2 sell
Dean Robert Alan -$209,614.749 2 2 sell
Malmen Jeffrey L -$147,613.26 1 1 sell
Robison Chris J -$107,264.234 1 1 sell
Sternhell Alexander McLeod -$102,787.468 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-29 – 2026-01-07 6 5 -$1.1M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-02 Lyon Mckinsey Margaret (5) Senior Vice President, External Affairs at Perpetua Resources Idaho, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Perpetua Resources Corp. -$256,865.812 Transaction at $29.53, now -12.7%
2026-04-02 Cherry Jonathan (3) President and CEO. -$119,555.49 Transaction at $29.31, now -12.1%
2026-02-17 Lyon Mckinsey Margaret (7) Senior Vice President, External Affairs at Perpetua Resources Idaho, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Perpetua Resources Corp. -$1.2M Transaction at $27.57, now -6.5%
2025-10-06 Cherry Jonathan (3) President and CEO. -$353,688.92 Transaction at $23.72, now +8.6%
2026-01-07 Lyon Mckinsey Margaret 4. Senior Vice President, External Affairs at Perpetua Resources Idaho, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Perpetua Resources Corp. -$520,958.9 Transaction at $17.60, now +46.4%
2026-01-07 Sternhell Alexander McLeod -$102,787.468 Transaction at $17.84, now +44.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PPTA on Trend Edge →