SBSW — Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Sibanye Stillwater Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company produces gold; platinum group metals (PGMs), including palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium, and ruthenium; chrome; lithium; zinc; nickel; and silver, cobalt, and copper. Sibanye Stillwater Limited was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Weltevredenpark, South Africa.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.16
Market Cap$8.56B
Float2.82B
Shares Outstanding707.6M
P/E (Forward)3.17
Price/Sales (TTM)0.07
vs. Analyst Target+44.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.99%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.54%
Revenue (TTM)$129.68B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-38.20%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$17.63 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $127.39B $29.31B $42.26B $45.42B
2021 $172.19B $33.05B $60.17B $57.61B
2022 $138.29B $18.40B $34.83B $37.13B
2023 $113.68B -$37.77B $12.78B -$27.52B
2024 $112.13B -$7.30B $6.30B $164M
2025 $120.10B -$4.79B $28.61B $31.78B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $56.92B $175M
Jun 2025 $54.77B -$3.59B
Dec 2025 $71.36B -$1.51B
Mar 2026 $71.36B -$1.51B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership21.8%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.19%
Number of Funds Holding262

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.30 support 1.41x 10 months ago
$4.60 support 1.34x 11 months ago
$3.40 support 1.44x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.30% 0.35% 54.90% 7.63% -10.84%
1 Day 0.50% -0.39% 49.02% 14.42% -8.58%
1 Week -1.95% -2.35% 39.22% 30.15% -32.98%
2 Weeks -1.99% -1.18% 47.06% 38.70% -29.21%
1 Month -2.17% -6.05% 47.06% 48.22% -67.85%

Next earnings: May 15, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan15.0%76.9%13
Feb6.0%46.2%13
Mar-2.6%50.0%14
Apr2.7%50.0%14
May-8.9%23.1%13
Jun-1.1%38.5%13
Jul8.3%76.9%13
Aug-1.1%30.8%13
Sep0.1%46.2%13
Oct7.6%69.2%13
Nov-3.3%38.5%13
Dec4.9%61.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 49.5% 626
Tuesday 0.04% 48.3% 689
Wednesday 0.26% 50.4% 684
Thursday 0.01% 48.4% 671
Friday 0.12% 49.7% 670

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 21.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value+$2.0M
Net Shares Change220,184
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Keyter Charl Chief Financial Officer +$1.8M 2 2 buy
Maphai Thabane Vincent +$160,080 1 1 buy
Carter Charles Edward Chief Regional Officer: Amer. +$114,000 1 1 buy
Nkosi Themba George Chief People and Culture Officer +$34,527.15 1 1 buy
Menell Richard Peter +$28,575 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-19 – 2026-04-01 6 5 +$2.2M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-20 Keyter Charl Chief Financial Officer +$1.7M Transaction at $11.63, now +4.6%
2026-04-01 Nkosi Themba George Chief People and Culture Officer +$34,527.15 Transaction at $2.91, now +317.9%
2026-03-31 Carter Charles Edward Chief Regional Officer: Amer. +$114,000 Transaction at $11.40, now +6.7%
2026-03-25 Keyter Charl Chief Financial Officer +$94,500 Transaction at $2.70, now +350.4%
2026-03-25 Menell Richard Peter +$28,575 Transaction at $11.43, now +6.4%
2026-03-19 Maphai Thabane Vincent +$160,080 Transaction at $13.34, now -8.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR (SBSW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SBSW on Trend Edge →