TDS — Telephone and Data Systems Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TDS Bearish with a Setup Score of 26, net conviction 25, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score26
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction25
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Telephone and Data Systems Inc

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc., a telecommunications company, provides communications services to residential, commercial, and wholesale customers in the United States. It operates through two segments: TDS Telecom and Array. The company offers internet connections and all-home Wi-Fi services, fiber internet, security, and support services; advanced home TV entertainment combined with a digital video recording (DVR) services; TDS TV+, an integr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$33.53
Market Cap$3.93B
Float89.9M
Shares Outstanding107.6M
P/E (Forward)39.06
P/E (TTM)8.53
Price/Sales (TTM)3.12
vs. Analyst Target+41.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin33.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)-6.56%
Revenue (TTM)$1.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-11.80%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$47.50 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.22B $226M $2.87B $1.19B
2021 $5.33B $156M $2.86B $1.18B
2022 $5.41B $62.0M $2.85B $1.08B
2023 $5.16B -$500M $2.83B $682M
2024 $4.96B -$28.0M $2.83B $1.20B
2025 $1.23B -$6.2M -$62.0M $554M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $309M -$81.8M
Dec 2025 $331M $56.5M
Mar 2026 $309M $145M
Jun 2026 $309M $298M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.4%
Institutional Ownership101.2%
Short Float6.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.96%
Number of Funds Holding348

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$35.14Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$38.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.22Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$38.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$38.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.40 resistance 1.04x 2 months ago
$45.00 resistance 1.18x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.01% 0.00% 48.36% 7.10% -9.67%
1 Day -0.30% -0.02% 45.90% 23.09% -25.89%
1 Week -0.01% -0.25% 48.36% 46.03% -30.78%
2 Weeks -0.35% 0.04% 50.00% 36.98% -37.24%
1 Month 0.28% 0.59% 52.89% 55.71% -37.90%

Next earnings: November 6, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%55.6%45
Feb-0.9%44.4%45
Mar-0.3%46.7%45
Apr1.7%55.6%45
May1.3%55.6%45
Jun-0.1%44.4%45
Jul1.0%53.3%45
Aug4.4%62.2%45
Sep-0.6%44.4%45
Oct1.9%56.8%44
Nov1.2%56.8%44
Dec2.9%52.3%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 45.5% 2132
Tuesday 0.10% 47.8% 2316
Wednesday 0.07% 47.3% 2314
Thursday 0.08% 47.3% 2272
Friday 0.04% 47.5% 2256

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$2.2M
Net Shares Change-22,898
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CARLSON LEROY T JR Vice Chair -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Kroll Anita J VP, Controller & CAO -$666,825.301 1 1 sell
Carlson Prudence E -$244,062 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-15 CARLSON LEROY T JR Vice Chair -$1.5M Transaction at $28.80, now +16.4%
2025-11-12 Kroll Anita J VP, Controller & CAO -$666,825.301 Transaction at $39.03, now -14.1%
2026-03-24 Carlson Prudence E -$244,062 Transaction at $42.00, now -20.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Telephone and Data Systems Inc (TDS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TDS on Trend Edge →