LUMN — Lumen Technologies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Lumen Technologies Inc

Lumen Technologies, Inc., a networking company, provides integrated products and services to business and mass customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers dark fiber and conduit, edge cloud, internet protocol (IP), voice over IP, managed security, software-defined wide area networks, unified communications and collaboration, and optical services; ethernet and VPN d… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.05
Market Cap$10.65B
Float949.1M
Shares Outstanding1.03B
P/E (Forward)100.00
Price/Sales (TTM)0.88
vs. Analyst Target-17.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-14.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.69%
Revenue (TTM)$12.12B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-88.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.29 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $20.71B -$1.23B $11.78B $5.60B
2021 $19.69B $2.03B $11.20B $8.52B
2022 $17.48B -$1.55B $9.61B $3.58B
2023 $14.56B -$10.30B $7.41B -$6.09B
2024 $13.11B -$55.0M $6.41B $4.10B
2025 $12.40B -$1.74B $5.76B $1.32B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.09B -$915M
Sep 2025 $3.09B -$621M
Dec 2025 $3.04B -$2.0M
Mar 2026 $2.90B -$200M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.0%
Institutional Ownership72.1%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding6.69%
Number of Funds Holding550

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.52Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.24Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.34Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.10 support 1.65x 6 months ago
$4.90 support 1.54x 7 months ago
$4.10 support 1.11x 8 months ago
$3.30 support 3.48x 20 months ago
$1.10 support 1.70x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.72% 0.00% 43.90% 44.40% -22.67%
1 Day -1.04% -0.19% 46.34% 32.60% -32.88%
1 Week -0.24% -0.29% 45.53% 25.84% -23.71%
2 Weeks -0.84% -0.81% 42.62% 23.03% -27.66%
1 Month -0.50% 0.98% 54.10% 30.37% -47.90%

Next earnings: May 5, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.8%58.7%46
Feb-0.3%43.5%46
Mar-0.6%54.3%46
Apr-0.7%44.7%47
May1.8%58.7%46
Jun1.4%54.3%46
Jul5.2%63.0%46
Aug1.4%54.3%46
Sep0.5%43.5%46
Oct2.3%50.0%46
Nov1.1%58.7%46
Dec1.5%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 46.6% 2199
Tuesday 0.13% 47.7% 2386
Wednesday 0.02% 44.1% 2384
Thursday -0.05% 44.1% 2338
Friday 0.12% 47.2% 2324

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$16.8M
Net Shares Change377,594
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Johnson Kathleen E President and CEO -$11.2M 3 2 buy, 1 sell
Stansbury Christopher EVP and CFO -$5.6M 2 1 buy, 1 sell
Linear Diankha -$355,050 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-20 – 2026-03-03 3 3 -$18.5M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-03 Johnson Kathleen E President and CEO -$12.2M Transaction at $7.11, now +41.4%
2026-02-20 Linear Diankha -$355,050 Transaction at $7.89, now +27.4%
2026-03-03 Stansbury Christopher EVP and CFO -$5.9M Transaction at $7.11, now +41.4%
2026-02-05 Johnson Kathleen E President and CEO +$499,925.148 Transaction at $6.35, now +58.2%
2025-08-15 Stansbury Christopher EVP and CFO +$357,749.6 Transaction at $4.36, now +130.4%
2025-08-07 Johnson Kathleen E President and CEO +$501,781.497 Transaction at $3.69, now +172.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lumen Technologies Inc (LUMN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LUMN on Trend Edge →