TMUS — T-Mobile US Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TMUS Bearish with a Setup Score of 70, net conviction 35, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score70
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About T-Mobile US Inc

T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband gateways, headsets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$181.61
Market Cap$194.39B
Float486.3M
Shares Outstanding1.07B
P/E (Forward)16.84
P/E (TTM)19.08
Price/Sales (TTM)2.11
vs. Analyst Target+34.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.46%
Operating Margin (TTM)25.22%
Revenue (TTM)$92.19B
Earnings Growth (YoY)5.30%
Dividend Rate4.1%
Analyst Target Price$243.38 (30 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $68.40B $3.06B $40.13B $20.38B
2021 $80.12B $3.02B $43.51B $23.08B
2022 $79.57B $2.59B $43.37B $20.16B
2023 $78.56B $8.32B $48.37B $27.15B
2024 $81.40B $11.34B $51.75B $31.04B
2025 $88.31B $10.99B $42.07B $31.31B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $21.96B $2.71B
Dec 2025 $24.33B $2.10B
Mar 2026 $23.11B $2.50B
Jun 2026 $22.79B $3.24B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership55.6%
Institutional Ownership43.5%
Short Float3.7%
% of All Funds Holding18.74%
Number of Funds Holding1,648

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$181.75Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$194.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$217.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$187.75Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$194.15Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$218.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$195.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$185.00 resistance 1.15x 1 months ago
$205.00 resistance 1.21x 3 months ago
$239.00 resistance 1.27x 9 months ago
$265.00 resistance 1.33x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.23% 0.90% 67.95% 9.51% -7.26%
1 Day 1.31% 0.93% 62.82% 11.88% -11.29%
1 Week 0.38% 0.43% 52.56% 16.56% -24.72%
2 Weeks 1.23% 1.92% 57.69% 26.12% -23.61%
1 Month 2.85% 2.82% 70.13% 27.84% -20.26%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.7%63.2%19
Feb3.9%63.2%19
Mar3.0%63.2%19
Apr0.8%63.2%19
May4.8%70.0%20
Jun-2.7%45.0%20
Jul3.7%65.0%20
Aug-3.2%42.1%19
Sep0.7%52.6%19
Oct-3.3%36.8%19
Nov1.5%47.4%19
Dec3.4%63.2%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 52.3% 915
Tuesday 0.07% 51.1% 1000
Wednesday 0.03% 50.1% 998
Thursday 0.11% 52.6% 979
Friday 0.08% 53.5% 975

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 43.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 55.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings37
Net Value-$11.9M
Net Shares Change-3,574,254
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CLAURE RAUL MARCELO -$120M 1 1 sell
SIEVERT G MICHAEL -$20.5M 2 2 sell
Osvaldik Peter Chief Financial Officer -$5.8M 1 1 sell
Gopalan Srini President and CEO +$2.0M 1 1 buy
Almeida Andre Chief Broadband, Ent. & Emerg +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Katz Michael J. Chief Bus. and Prod. Officer -$979,050 1 1 sell
Datar Srikant M. -$945,890.2 2 2 sell
Nelson Mark Wolfe Chief Legal Officer & GC -$517,968.163 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-19 3 3 -$8.3M 2 C-suite
2026-02-17 – 2026-02-25 6 4 -$153M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 Almeida Andre Chief Broadband, Ent. & Emerg +$1.0M Transaction at $196.18, now -7.4%
2025-11-10 Gopalan Srini President and CEO +$2.0M Transaction at $201.82, now -10.0%
2026-05-04 Katz Michael J. Chief Bus. and Prod. Officer -$979,050 Transaction at $195.81, now -7.3%
2026-02-19 Osvaldik Peter Chief Financial Officer -$5.8M Transaction at $214.86, now -15.5%
2026-03-12 Datar Srikant M. -$218,250.1 Transaction at $218.25, now -16.8%
2026-03-05 Datar Srikant M. -$727,640.1 Transaction at $221.10, now -17.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TMUS on Trend Edge →