TDG — Transdigm Group Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TDG Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 26, actionability 76. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability76 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Transdigm Group Incorporated

TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. The Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay pa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1192.60
Market Cap$65.25B
Float55.0M
Shares Outstanding55.3M
P/E (Forward)25.51
P/E (TTM)37.04
Price/Sales (TTM)6.52
vs. Analyst Target+27.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.01%
Revenue (TTM)$10.01B
Earnings Growth (YoY)10.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$1522.79 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.10B $699M $2.65B $2.05B
2021 $4.80B $680M $2.51B $2.03B
2022 $5.43B $866M $3.10B $2.46B
2023 $6.58B $1.30B $3.84B $3.15B
2024 $7.94B $1.71B $4.67B $3.81B
2025 $8.83B $2.07B $5.31B $4.57B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.44B $610M
Dec 2025 $2.29B $445M
Mar 2026 $2.54B $535M
Jun 2026 $2.74B $539M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding12.97%
Number of Funds Holding1,141

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1254.50Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1270.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1327.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1146.98Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1277.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1345.82Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1233.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1280.00 resistance 1.07x 0 months ago
$1180.00 support 1.10x 2 months ago
$1430.00 resistance 1.25x 5 months ago
$1590.00 resistance 1.47x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (82 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.08% 56.10% 3.50% -7.19%
1 Day 0.21% 0.23% 59.76% 14.23% -9.17%
1 Week 0.71% 0.58% 53.66% 30.12% -10.24%
2 Weeks 1.55% 1.38% 59.76% 39.77% -11.87%
1 Month 1.74% 0.05% 51.85% 52.48% -16.72%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.6%70.0%20
Feb2.7%75.0%20
Mar-1.3%60.0%20
Apr2.6%71.4%21
May4.5%71.4%21
Jun0.6%57.1%21
Jul2.3%71.4%21
Aug1.7%60.0%20
Sep-0.4%50.0%20
Oct-0.9%45.0%20
Nov5.7%85.0%20
Dec1.1%50.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 51.4% 966
Tuesday 0.17% 54.0% 1055
Wednesday 0.09% 53.4% 1055
Thursday 0.11% 55.1% 1036
Friday 0.07% 54.8% 1030

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings44
Net Value-$42.7M
Net Shares Change-103,048
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings19
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SMALL ROBERT J -$134M 4 1 buy, 3 sell
Howley W Nicholas -$23.5M 2 N/A
Reiss Joel Co-Chief Operating Officer -$3.9M 1 1 sell
Lisman Michael President & CEO +$3.8M 2 2 buy
Graff Michael -$2.2M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-16 – 2025-09-24 3 3 -$12.7M 1 C-suite
2025-10-15 – 2025-10-28 4 4 -$7.9M 2 C-suite
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-18 4 4 -$5.3M 3 C-suite
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-16 4 3 -$153M 1 C-suite
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-16 5 3 -$61.4M 2 C-suite
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-09 3 3 -$51.2M 2 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-02-27 3 3 -$16.7M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-16 Reiss Joel Co-Chief Operating Officer -$3.9M Transaction at $780.88, now +52.7%
2026-02-09 Lisman Michael President & CEO +$1.2M Transaction at $1284.26, now -7.1%
2025-11-17 Lisman Michael President & CEO +$2.6M Transaction at $1339.14, now -10.9%
2026-02-27 SMALL ROBERT J +$1,285 Transaction at $1285.00, now -7.2%
2025-12-09 SMALL ROBERT J -$121M Transaction at $1335.72, now -10.7%
2025-12-11 SMALL ROBERT J -$5.8M Transaction at $678.33, now +75.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TDG on Trend Edge →