TDG — Transdigm Group Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Transdigm Group Incorporated

TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. The Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay pa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1213.51
Market Cap$67.64B
Float55.6M
Shares Outstanding55.9M
P/E (Forward)30.49
P/E (TTM)37.73
Price/Sales (TTM)7.12
vs. Analyst Target+26.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.66%
Revenue (TTM)$9.50B
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$1532.24 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.10B $699M $2.65B $2.05B
2021 $4.80B $680M $2.51B $2.03B
2022 $5.43B $866M $3.10B $2.46B
2023 $6.58B $1.30B $3.84B $3.15B
2024 $7.94B $1.71B $4.67B $3.81B
2025 $8.83B $2.07B $5.31B $4.57B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.24B $492M
Sep 2025 $2.44B $610M
Dec 2025 $2.29B $386M
Mar 2026 $2.54B $535M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership98.4%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding12.69%
Number of Funds Holding1,043

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1183.77Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1289.93Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1333.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1100.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1297.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1345.76Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1193.59Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1310.00 resistance 1.29x 1 months ago
$1430.00 resistance 1.25x 2 months ago
$1590.00 resistance 1.47x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (81 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.09% 56.79% 3.50% -7.19%
1 Day 0.23% 0.24% 60.49% 14.23% -9.17%
1 Week 0.76% 0.63% 54.32% 30.12% -10.24%
2 Weeks 1.62% 1.55% 60.49% 39.77% -11.87%
1 Month 1.74% 0.05% 51.85% 52.48% -16.72%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.6%70.0%20
Feb2.7%75.0%20
Mar-1.3%60.0%20
Apr2.6%71.4%21
May4.3%70.0%20
Jun0.3%55.0%20
Jul2.7%75.0%20
Aug1.7%60.0%20
Sep-0.4%50.0%20
Oct-0.9%45.0%20
Nov5.7%85.0%20
Dec1.1%50.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 51.8% 953
Tuesday 0.16% 53.9% 1041
Wednesday 0.10% 53.6% 1041
Thursday 0.10% 54.9% 1022
Friday 0.07% 54.8% 1018

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$5.1M
Net Shares Change0
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Howley W Nicholas Exec. Chairman of the Board -$5.1M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2038-02-17 Howley W Nicholas Exec. Chairman of the Board -$5.1M Transaction at $352.31, now +244.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TDG on Trend Edge →