TCOM — Trip.com Group Ltd ADR

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Trip.com Group Ltd ADR

Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. It acts as an agent for hotel-related transactions and selling air tickets, as well as provides train, long-distance bus, and ferry tickets; travel insurance products, such as flig… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$47.35
Market Cap$30.26B
Float568.3M
Shares Outstanding629.7M
P/E (Forward)12.52
P/E (TTM)6.87
Price/Sales (TTM)0.48
vs. Analyst Target+62.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin53.35%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.46%
Revenue (TTM)$62.41B
Earnings Growth (YoY)98.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$76.75 (33 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $18.32B -$3.25B $14.29B -$209M
2021 $20.02B -$550M $15.43B -$393M
2022 $20.04B $1.40B $15.53B $960M
2023 $44.51B $9.92B $36.39B $12.14B
2024 $53.29B $17.07B $43.30B $15.03B
2025 $60.71B $32.39B $48.92B $16.17B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $14.84B $4.85B
Sep 2025 $18.34B $19.89B
Dec 2025 $15.19B $4.22B
Mar 2026 $15.19B $4.22B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership25.8%
Short Float2.6%
% of All Funds Holding3.98%
Number of Funds Holding327

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$63.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$63.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$48.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$62.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$62.86Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$51.84Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$60.00 resistance 1.35x 2 months ago
$74.00 resistance 1.67x 3 months ago
$47.00 support 1.50x 19 months ago
$43.00 support 1.06x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (90 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.33% 0.02% 50.00% 6.14% -15.32%
1 Day -0.54% -0.38% 45.56% 9.25% -13.64%
1 Week -0.45% -0.41% 47.19% 19.25% -16.84%
2 Weeks 0.05% 0.40% 50.56% 23.67% -15.69%
1 Month 0.99% 0.38% 50.56% 34.14% -34.58%

Next earnings: May 25, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.0%52.2%23
Feb4.0%43.5%23
Mar3.6%60.9%23
Apr3.6%69.6%23
May5.8%68.2%22
Jun1.0%50.0%22
Jul0.6%54.5%22
Aug3.5%59.1%22
Sep2.4%59.1%22
Oct1.2%45.5%22
Nov2.3%54.5%22
Dec-1.7%45.5%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 50.2% 1057
Tuesday 0.11% 50.2% 1160
Wednesday 0.12% 49.7% 1161
Thursday 0.16% 50.0% 1137
Friday 0.13% 51.5% 1133

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 25.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

Founder-led management: James Liang (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman), Min Fan (Co-Founder, Vice Chairman of the Board and President)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Trip.com Group Ltd ADR (TCOM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TCOM on Trend Edge →