SVCO — Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

Silvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions in the United States and internationally. The company's TCAD software are used in semiconductor industry to model and optimize manufacturing process and device performance. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.80
Market Cap$317M
Float13.2M
Shares Outstanding33.4M
P/E (Forward)312.50
Price/Sales (TTM)4.75
vs. Analyst Target+54.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-41.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)-31.86%
Revenue (TTM)$66.7M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.17 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $40.3M $2.5M $31.6M $4.5M
2021 $42.0M -$1.8M $33.3M -$96,000
2022 $46.5M -$3.9M $37.6M -$1.3M
2023 $54.2M -$316,000 $44.9M $1.7M
2024 $59.7M -$39.4M $47.6M -$36.7M
2025 $63.1M -$41.2M $49.4M -$10.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $12.0M -$9.4M
Sep 2025 $18.7M -$5.3M
Dec 2025 $18.3M -$7.2M
Mar 2026 $17.8M -$5.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership60.2%
Institutional Ownership24.3%
Short Float5.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.95%
Number of Funds Holding78

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.88Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.20 support 1.29x 0 months ago
$3.30 support 4.45x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (9 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.66% -1.19% 22.22% 30.30% -11.32%
1 Day -2.19% -4.73% 33.33% 52.42% -32.64%
1 Week 4.59% -6.38% 44.44% 92.12% -42.04%
2 Weeks 5.71% -3.19% 44.44% 109.09% -40.51%
1 Month 17.32% 1.63% 50.00% 152.12% -33.18%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 54.1% 98
Tuesday 0.26% 45.8% 107
Wednesday 0.34% 51.5% 103
Thursday -0.85% 40.4% 99
Friday 0.17% 41.3% 104

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 24.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 60.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value+$202,798.51
Net Shares Change-1,144,210
% of Float-8.7%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. -$2.0M 1 1 sell
RHINES WALDEN C Chief Executive Officer +$214,648.26 3 3 buy
Zegarelli Christopher John Chief Financial Officer +$46,318.59 3 2 buy, 1 sell
Jackson Candace SVP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$42,443.34 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-18 – 2025-11-20 5 4 +$188,981.39 4 C-suite
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-15 4 4 +$197,985.87 2 C-suite
2026-03-19 – 2026-03-19 4 4 -$3.4M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Jackson Candace SVP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$22,000 Transaction at $11.00, now -10.9%
2025-12-09 RHINES WALDEN C Chief Executive Officer +$52,500.87 Transaction at $4.01, now +144.5%
2026-04-03 Jackson Candace SVP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$12,937.04 Transaction at $7.12, now +37.6%
2026-03-19 Jackson Candace SVP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$7,506.3 Transaction at $5.00, now +95.8%
2025-12-08 Zegarelli Christopher John Chief Financial Officer +$37,950 Transaction at $3.79, now +158.2%
2026-04-03 Zegarelli Christopher John Chief Financial Officer -$17,284.41 Transaction at $7.11, now +37.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock (SVCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SVCO on Trend Edge →