SVCO — Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SVCO Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 29, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

Silvaco Group, Inc. provides technology computer aided design (TCAD) software, electronic design automation (EDA) software, and semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions in the United States and internationally. The company's TCAD software are used in semiconductor industry to model and optimize manufacturing process and device performance. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.81
Market Cap$229M
Float14.4M
Shares Outstanding33.9M
P/E (Forward)166.67
Price/Sales (TTM)3.16
vs. Analyst Target+122.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-30.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)-17.27%
Revenue (TTM)$72.5M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.17 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $40.3M $2.5M $31.6M $4.5M
2021 $42.0M -$1.8M $33.3M -$96,000
2022 $46.5M -$3.9M $37.6M -$762,000
2023 $54.2M -$316,000 $44.9M $1.7M
2024 $59.7M -$39.4M $47.6M -$36.7M
2025 $63.1M -$41.2M $49.4M -$40.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $18.7M -$5.3M
Dec 2025 $18.3M -$7.2M
Mar 2026 $17.8M -$5.9M
Jun 2026 $17.8M -$3.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership57.9%
Institutional Ownership28.5%
Short Float7.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.18%
Number of Funds Holding104

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.58Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.18Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.30 resistance 1.20x 0 months ago
$3.30 support 4.45x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (10 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.50% -1.83% 20.00% 30.30% -11.32%
1 Day -3.08% -6.51% 30.00% 52.42% -32.64%
1 Week 2.57% -6.99% 40.00% 92.12% -42.04%
2 Weeks 2.96% -4.98% 40.00% 109.09% -40.51%
1 Month 14.86% -4.81% 44.44% 152.12% -33.18%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 55.9% 111
Tuesday 0.41% 46.2% 119
Wednesday 0.15% 50.0% 116
Thursday -0.79% 42.0% 112
Friday -0.16% 40.0% 115

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 28.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 57.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings27
Net Value+$185,754.774
Net Shares Change-1,326,999
% of Float-9.2%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. -$2.3M 1 1 sell
RHINES WALDEN C Chief Executive Officer +$214,648.26 3 3 buy
Pesic Illiya I. -$77,730 1 1 sell
Ngai Anthony K.K. +$24,847.5 3 3 buy
Zegarelli Christopher John Chief Financial Officer +$8,609.265 2 1 buy, 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-18 – 2025-11-20 5 4 +$188,981.39 4 C-suite
2025-12-08 – 2025-12-15 4 4 +$197,985.87 2 C-suite
2026-03-19 – 2026-03-19 4 4 -$3.4M 1 C-suite
2026-06-05 – 2026-06-18 4 3 -$2.3M
2026-08-12 – 2026-08-13 5 5 -$32,684.73 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Ngai Anthony K.K. +$5,527.5 Transaction at $7.37, now -7.6%
2026-06-18 Ngai Anthony K.K. +$6,250 Transaction at $12.50, now -45.5%
2026-06-08 Ngai Anthony K.K. +$13,070 Transaction at $13.07, now -47.9%
2026-08-13 Zegarelli Christopher John Chief Financial Officer -$17,043.736 Transaction at $7.55, now -9.8%
2026-06-12 Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. -$2.3M Transaction at $11.27, now -39.6%
2025-12-09 RHINES WALDEN C Chief Executive Officer +$52,500.87 Transaction at $4.01, now +69.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock (SVCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SVCO on Trend Edge →