STX — Seagate Technology PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates STX Bullish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 59, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction59
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Seagate Technology PLC

Seagate Technology Holdings plc engages in providing data storage solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers External and internal hard drives; external and internal solid-state drives (SSDs); enterprise hard drives and SSDs; data storage systems; network attached storage (NAS) hard drives; video and analytics hard drives; and hyperscale and cloud solution. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$850.00
Market Cap$193.00B
Float226.0M
Shares Outstanding227.0M
P/E (Forward)23.31
P/E (TTM)59.88
Price/Sales (TTM)15.80
vs. Analyst Target+32.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.11%
Operating Margin (TTM)43.07%
Revenue (TTM)$12.20B
Earnings Growth (YoY)148.80%
Dividend Rate3.0%
Analyst Target Price$1125.00 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $10.68B $1.31B $2.92B $1.97B
2022 $11.66B $1.65B $3.47B $2.38B
2023 $7.38B -$529M $1.42B $330M
2024 $6.55B $335M $1.54B $1.04B
2025 $9.10B $1.47B $3.20B $2.08B
2026 $12.20B $3.18B $5.56B $4.25B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.63B $549M
Dec 2025 $2.83B $593M
Mar 2026 $3.11B $748M
Jun 2026 $3.63B $1.29B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership86.4%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding21.94%
Number of Funds Holding1,930

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$883.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$580.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$364.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$193.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$598.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$371.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$228.63Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$282.00 support 1.09x 6 months ago
$165.00 support 1.13x 10 months ago
$118.00 support 1.25x 13 months ago
$92.00 support 1.34x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (95 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.27% 0.04% 51.58% 15.36% -19.29%
1 Day -0.75% 0.13% 50.53% 21.83% -24.47%
1 Week 0.50% 0.02% 50.53% 35.82% -25.05%
2 Weeks 1.27% 0.63% 52.63% 41.16% -28.96%
1 Month 2.48% 1.18% 60.64% 59.10% -44.25%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.3%50.0%24
Feb3.6%66.7%24
Mar1.8%54.2%24
Apr3.3%54.2%24
May3.7%62.5%24
Jun1.4%58.3%24
Jul1.4%50.0%24
Aug-0.2%52.2%23
Sep2.7%52.2%23
Oct-0.2%43.5%23
Nov4.5%73.9%23
Dec3.9%60.9%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.21% 54.3% 1117
Tuesday 0.04% 49.8% 1224
Wednesday 0.22% 53.0% 1222
Thursday 0.01% 52.8% 1200
Friday 0.12% 49.8% 1193

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings59
Net Value-$264M
Net Shares Change-355,563
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings48
Clusters Detected9

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Romano Gianluca EVP & CFO -$19.7M 3 2 sell
MOSLEY WILLIAM D CEO -$13.9M 3 3 sell
Teh Ban Seng EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$6.3M 1 1 sell
Arumugavelu Shankar -$927,680 1 1 sell
Lee James CI EVP & CLO -$490,740.968 1 1 sell
Morris John Christopher EVP & CTO -$471,426.392 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-04 – 2025-09-17 6 4 -$9.2M 5 C-suite
2025-11-03 – 2025-11-14 9 8 -$25.0M 6 C-suite
2025-12-02 – 2025-12-16 4 4 -$6.2M 3 C-suite
2026-01-28 – 2026-02-03 4 4 -$17.2M 3 C-suite
2026-02-23 – 2026-03-03 4 4 -$10.5M 3 C-suite
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-14 5 5 -$36.8M 4 C-suite
2026-05-21 – 2026-06-04 5 4 -$51.1M 2 C-suite
2026-06-11 – 2026-06-15 8 4 -$8.9M 8 C-suite
2026-07-24 – 2026-08-04 4 3 -$25.1M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-24 Lee James CI EVP & CLO -$490,740.968 Transaction at $905.01, now -6.1%
2026-08-14 Teh Ban Seng EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$6.3M Transaction at $498.61, now +70.5%
2026-06-11 Romano Gianluca EVP & CFO -$1.1M Transaction at $821.76, now +3.4%
2026-06-15 MOSLEY WILLIAM D CEO -$1.6M Transaction at $880.19, now -3.4%
2026-06-11 MOSLEY WILLIAM D CEO -$2.3M Transaction at $821.74, now +3.4%
2026-06-15 Romano Gianluca EVP & CFO -$795,029.179 Transaction at $880.19, now -3.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Seagate Technology PLC (STX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for STX on Trend Edge →