STHO — Star Holdings

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates STHO Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 15, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction15
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Star Holdings

Star Holdings engages in the non-ground lease real estate assets business in the United States. The company portfolio comprises Asbury Park Waterfront and Magnolia Green residential development projects. It also engages in the asset management activities; sale of existing loans; and operation of land and development properties. Star Holdings was incorporated in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.06
Market Cap$109M
Float8.6M
Shares Outstanding12.1M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.88
Profit Margin-53.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)-27.89%
Revenue (TTM)$124M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-98.00%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2021 $222M $62.7M $4.7M $143M
2022 $96.1M -$36.3M -$17.2M $10.6M
2023 $101M -$196M -$28.9M -$169M
2024 $88.9M -$86.8M -$25.6M -$68.3M
2025 $110M -$64.2M $21.3M -$47.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $34.6M -$39.3M
Sep 2025 $13.4M $1.8M
Dec 2025 $25.4M -$19.1M
Mar 2026 $20.9M -$10.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.1%
Institutional Ownership75.1%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.89%
Number of Funds Holding73

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.22Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.07Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.25Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.75Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.40 support 2.11x 12 months ago
$9.80 resistance 1.23x 17 months ago
$11.20 resistance 1.72x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.19% 0.00% 46.15% 3.99% -1.77%
1 Day 0.37% 0.96% 69.23% 2.91% -2.70%
1 Week 1.89% 0.91% 61.54% 13.55% -3.33%
2 Weeks 1.44% 0.34% 53.85% 19.13% -7.96%
1 Month 1.39% 1.07% 50.00% 22.35% -15.32%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 51.6% 155
Tuesday -0.06% 47.9% 169
Wednesday -0.21% 47.0% 168
Thursday 0.27% 49.1% 163
Friday -0.23% 47.0% 164

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.1%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Star Holdings (STHO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for STHO on Trend Edge →