CHCI — Comstock Holding Companies Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CHCI Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 44, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction44
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Comstock Holding Companies Inc

Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. operates as an asset manager, developer, and operator of mixed-use and transit-oriented properties in the United States. The company acquires, develops, operates, and sells residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. It provides various asset and property management, development and construction management, leasing and marketing services, acquisition and disposition, asset recapitalization, designing servic… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.50
Market Cap$161M
Float3.7M
Shares Outstanding10.0M
P/E (Forward)12.90
P/E (TTM)9.59
Price/Sales (TTM)2.38
vs. Analyst Target-54.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.83%
Revenue (TTM)$67.7M
Earnings Growth (YoY)26.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $22.5M $2.1M $4.0M $2.6M
2021 $31.1M $13.6M $6.4M $5.2M
2022 $39.3M $7.3M $9.9M $8.3M
2023 $44.7M $7.8M $11.7M $8.4M
2024 $51.3M $14.6M $12.7M $11.0M
2025 $62.9M $17.1M $14.8M $13.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $13.0M $1.4M
Sep 2025 $13.3M $541,000
Dec 2025 $23.9M $13.5M
Mar 2026 $17.4M $2.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership63.0%
Institutional Ownership14.2%
Short Float0.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.01%
Number of Funds Holding83

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.76Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.27Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.50 support 1.33x 3 months ago
$8.70 support 1.58x 14 months ago
$7.10 support 1.65x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (84 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.70% 0.38% 51.19% 44.44% -11.25%
1 Day 0.39% -0.39% 40.48% 59.83% -26.32%
1 Week 1.01% -4.36% 34.52% 133.03% -26.67%
2 Weeks 6.97% -4.06% 39.29% 386.67% -33.83%
1 Month 4.94% -4.02% 40.96% 284.62% -44.00%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan11.2%63.6%22
Feb5.5%45.5%22
Mar3.8%54.5%22
Apr7.1%36.4%22
May-0.4%31.8%22
Jun-4.2%45.5%22
Jul-3.3%42.9%21
Aug12.2%38.1%21
Sep0.6%28.6%21
Oct-4.1%42.9%21
Nov-4.2%38.1%21
Dec-3.6%42.9%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 39.9% 1015
Tuesday 0.14% 43.4% 1113
Wednesday 0.41% 44.0% 1114
Thursday 0.13% 45.5% 1093
Friday 0.34% 44.0% 1086

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 63.0%

Founder-led management: Christopher Clemente (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$463,044.221
Net Shares Change-10,713
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Steffan Timothy Chief Operating Officer -$373,730.021 5 5 sell
MACCUTCHEON JAMES A -$104,709.334 2 N/A
Guthrie Christopher Michael Chief Financial Officer & EVP -$89,314.2 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-13 – 2025-08-20 6 3 -$345,879.165 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Steffan Timothy Chief Operating Officer -$119,345.651 Transaction at $8.76, now +76.9%
2026-03-25 Steffan Timothy Chief Operating Officer -$102,528.738 Transaction at $9.45, now +63.9%
2025-08-20 Steffan Timothy Chief Operating Officer -$70,092.991 Transaction at $15.63, now -0.8%
2025-08-14 Steffan Timothy Chief Operating Officer -$68,196.69 Transaction at $14.79, now +4.8%
2025-08-14 Guthrie Christopher Michael Chief Financial Officer & EVP -$89,314.2 Transaction at $14.89, now +4.1%
2025-08-18 Steffan Timothy Chief Operating Officer -$13,565.95 Transaction at $14.99, now +3.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Comstock Holding Companies Inc (CHCI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CHCI on Trend Edge →