OPAD — Offerpad Solutions Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OPAD Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 27, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Offerpad Solutions Inc

Offerpad Solutions Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a technology-enabled real estate solutions platform in the United States. It operates through Cash Offer, Renovate, and Other segments. The company offers Cash Offer, which allows customers to access the company's website or mobile application to receive a cash offer range for their home; and renovation services to other businesses. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.98
Market Cap$24.1M
Float4.1M
Shares Outstanding4.7M
P/E (Forward)2.91
Price/Sales (TTM)0.05
vs. Analyst Target+186.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-8.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)-11.28%
Revenue (TTM)$487M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.25 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.06B -$23.1M $87.8M -$12.5M
2021 $2.07B $6.5M $208M $23.0M
2022 $3.95B -$149M $182M -$101M
2023 $1.31B -$117M $70.2M -$97.5M
2024 $919M -$62.2M $72.2M -$42.8M
2025 $568M -$46.4M $42.0M -$30.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $160M -$10.9M
Sep 2025 $133M -$11.6M
Dec 2025 $114M -$8.8M
Mar 2026 $80.1M -$10.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership14.5%
Institutional Ownership33.1%
Short Float10.7%
% of All Funds Holding0.41%
Number of Funds Holding34

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.79Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.94Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.95Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.70 resistance 2.07x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.31% -1.83% 27.27% 8.98% -18.73%
1 Day -5.57% -3.67% 9.09% 26.42% -31.75%
1 Week -7.54% -11.58% 31.82% 33.94% -47.87%
2 Weeks -12.35% -10.03% 31.82% 23.83% -57.69%
1 Month -3.92% -7.36% 31.82% 58.95% -57.19%

Next earnings: August 3, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.22% 37.3% 260
Tuesday -0.02% 41.2% 289
Wednesday -0.42% 43.2% 287
Thursday -0.29% 39.6% 280
Friday 2.94% 45.7% 278

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 33.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 14.5%

Founder-led management: Brian Bair (Founder, CEO & Chairman), Jerry Coleman (Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$132,538.228
Net Shares Change156,753
% of Float3.8%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bair Brian Chief Executive Officer +$132,538.228 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-04 Bair Brian Chief Executive Officer +$102,600 Transaction at $0.82, now +506.7%
2026-06-05 Bair Brian Chief Executive Officer +$29,938.228 Transaction at $0.77, now +550.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Offerpad Solutions Inc (OPAD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OPAD on Trend Edge →