SPH — Suburban Propane Partners LP

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SPH Bearish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 18, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score40
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction18
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Suburban Propane Partners LP

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail marketing and distribution of propane, renewable propane, renewable natural gas, fuel oil, and refined fuels in the United States. It operates through four segments: Propane, Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels, Natural Gas and Electricity, and All Other. The Propane segment is involved in the retail distribution of propane for space heating, water heating, cooking, and cloth… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.75
Market Cap$1.17B
Float64.9M
Shares Outstanding66.7M
P/E (Forward)16.61
P/E (TTM)9.12
Price/Sales (TTM)0.84
vs. Analyst Target-4.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.78%
Revenue (TTM)$1.39B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-1.90%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$17.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.11B $60.8M $725M $257M
2021 $1.29B $123M $803M $297M
2022 $1.50B $140M $789M $260M
2023 $1.43B $124M $361M $260M
2024 $1.33B $74.2M $805M $216M
2025 $1.43B $107M $303M $256M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $211M -$35.1M
Dec 2025 $370M $45.8M
Mar 2026 $551M $138M
Jun 2026 $261M -$17.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.6%
Institutional Ownership43.2%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.65%
Number of Funds Holding145

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.13Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.30Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.70 resistance 1.17x 0 months ago
$19.20 resistance 2.17x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.12% 57.02% 3.65% -4.97%
1 Day 0.57% 0.55% 61.16% 7.70% -5.69%
1 Week 0.06% 0.24% 54.55% 9.19% -14.72%
2 Weeks -0.16% -0.11% 47.93% 14.75% -18.05%
1 Month -0.38% -0.36% 46.67% 32.21% -21.98%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.6%93.3%30
Feb-1.1%43.3%30
Mar-0.8%45.2%31
Apr2.6%64.5%31
May-1.3%32.3%31
Jun-0.1%48.4%31
Jul1.4%64.5%31
Aug-2.0%30.0%30
Sep1.4%66.7%30
Oct1.4%66.7%30
Nov-3.2%33.3%30
Dec-0.8%56.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 49.3% 1443
Tuesday -0.01% 47.7% 1575
Wednesday -0.02% 49.7% 1573
Thursday 0.05% 49.7% 1542
Friday 0.02% 50.5% 1535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 43.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$1.7M
Net Shares Change135,951
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
STIVALA MICHAEL A President & CEO -$422,582.86 1 1 sell
Kuglin Michael Chief Financial Officer -$225,922.34 1 1 sell
Scanlon Neil SVP - Information Services -$199,673.32 1 1 sell
Cleffi Francesca Vice President,Human Resources -$147,175.28 1 1 sell
Koepke Bryon L VP,General Counsel & Secretary -$98,104.3 1 1 sell
Sankara Nandini VP Marketing & Brand Strategy -$90,515.81 1 1 sell
Onderdonk Keith P Vice Pres-Operational Support -$90,515.81 1 1 sell
Palleschi Craig VP-Renewable Nat Gas Opers -$67,543.21 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-17 – 2025-11-20 20 19 -$1.8M 13 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-17 Palleschi Craig VP-Renewable Nat Gas Opers -$67,543.21 Transaction at $18.83, now -5.7%
2025-11-17 Koepke Bryon L VP,General Counsel & Secretary -$98,104.3 Transaction at $18.83, now -5.7%
2025-11-17 Dante Elmer VP, Tax +N/A Transaction at $18.83, now -5.7%
2025-11-17 Dagan Douglas VP-Strat Init-Renew Energy +N/A Transaction at $18.83, now -5.7%
2025-11-17 Scanlon Neil SVP - Information Services -$199,673.32 Transaction at $18.83, now -5.7%
2025-11-17 Sankara Nandini VP Marketing & Brand Strategy -$90,515.81 Transaction at $18.83, now -5.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Suburban Propane Partners LP (SPH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SPH on Trend Edge →