ATO — Atmos Energy Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ATO Bullish with a Setup Score of 71, net conviction 49, actionability 104. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score71
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction49
Actionability104 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Atmos Energy Corporation

Atmos Energy Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the regulated natural gas distribution, and pipeline and storage businesses in the United States. It operates through two segments, Distribution, and Pipeline and Storage. The Distribution segment is involved in the regulated natural gas distribution and related sales operations in eight states. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$169.46
Market Cap$28.95B
Float168.2M
Shares Outstanding169.0M
P/E (Forward)19.16
P/E (TTM)20.32
Price/Sales (TTM)5.86
vs. Analyst Target+11.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.50%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.22%
Revenue (TTM)$4.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)23.30%
Dividend Rate4.0%
Analyst Target Price$188.73 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.82B $601M $1.53B $1.26B
2021 $3.41B $666M $1.70B $1.38B
2022 $4.20B $774M $1.81B $1.49B
2023 $4.28B $885M $2.06B $1.74B
2024 $4.17B $1.04B $2.41B $2.10B
2025 $4.70B $1.20B $2.46B $2.38B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $737M $175M
Dec 2025 $1.34B $403M
Mar 2026 $1.96B $582M
Jun 2026 $879M $243M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership98.6%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding11.79%
Number of Funds Holding1,037

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$173.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$175.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$168.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$139.81Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$175.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$166.93Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$144.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$188.00 resistance 1.39x 2 months ago
$167.00 support 1.21x 5 months ago
$158.00 support 1.07x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.14% 0.00% 45.90% 5.47% -3.05%
1 Day 0.16% 0.00% 49.18% 8.39% -5.07%
1 Week 0.56% 0.74% 61.48% 9.05% -7.67%
2 Weeks 0.49% 0.54% 55.74% 15.52% -12.26%
1 Month 0.33% 0.50% 55.37% 18.15% -18.68%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%51.2%43
Feb-0.3%48.8%43
Mar1.8%62.8%43
Apr1.2%58.1%43
May0.6%58.1%43
Jun1.7%58.1%43
Jul0.1%60.5%43
Aug0.9%61.9%42
Sep-0.4%50.0%42
Oct1.0%59.5%42
Nov2.0%69.0%42
Dec1.1%52.4%42

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 46.5% 2030
Tuesday 0.07% 48.0% 2204
Wednesday 0.01% 45.3% 2201
Thursday 0.05% 46.3% 2162
Friday 0.05% 46.5% 2149

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-150
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DONOHUE SEAN -$77,017.5 1 1 sell
WARE WILLIAM JAMES +$50,278.35 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 WARE WILLIAM JAMES +$50,278.35 Transaction at $167.59, now +1.1%
2025-12-04 DONOHUE SEAN -$77,017.5 Transaction at $171.15, now -1.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ATO on Trend Edge →