NWN — Northwest Natural Gas Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NWN Bullish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 30, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Northwest Natural Gas Co

Northwest Natural Holding Company, through its subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, provides regulated natural gas distribution services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in the United States. It operates through three segments: NWN Gas Utility, SiEnergy, and NWN Water. The company operates mist gas storage facility contracted to utilities, third-party marketers, and electric generators; offers natural gas asset managemen… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$49.95
Market Cap$2.13B
Float41.8M
Shares Outstanding42.1M
P/E (Forward)16.56
P/E (TTM)16.98
Price/Sales (TTM)1.65
vs. Analyst Target+14.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.61%
Revenue (TTM)$1.29B
Earnings Growth (YoY)6.90%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$57.40 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $774M $76.8M $301M $238M
2021 $860M $78.7M $329M $264M
2022 $1.04B $86.3M $341M $303M
2023 $1.20B $93.9M $424M $344M
2024 $1.15B $78.9M $398M $348M
2025 $1.29B $113M $510M $471M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $165M -$29.9M
Dec 2025 $394M $57.8M
Mar 2026 $490M $97.5M
Jun 2026 $244M $600,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership83.8%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.57%
Number of Funds Holding314

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.35Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$49.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$46.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$43.26Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$49.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$45.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$42.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 resistance 1.04x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.04% 0.00% 40.98% 11.54% -4.08%
1 Day 0.06% -0.19% 45.90% 5.95% -4.68%
1 Week 0.25% 0.04% 50.00% 19.18% -9.13%
2 Weeks -0.09% -0.24% 47.54% 17.10% -21.48%
1 Month 0.49% 0.41% 53.72% 20.24% -14.95%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%54.9%51
Feb-0.4%45.1%51
Mar0.7%51.0%51
Apr0.4%51.0%51
May0.8%54.9%51
Jun1.0%56.9%51
Jul1.0%56.9%51
Aug0.3%48.0%50
Sep0.2%54.0%50
Oct0.4%50.0%50
Nov2.0%56.0%50
Dec-0.6%45.1%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 42.4% 2397
Tuesday 0.06% 43.1% 2599
Wednesday 0.01% 43.3% 2600
Thursday 0.04% 43.7% 2550
Friday 0.06% 44.5% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings33
Net Value-$499,170.111
Net Shares Change-45,163
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
RUSH KIMBERLY HEITING President -$255,934.607 1 1 sell
Bragdon Peter J +$250,857.838 5 5 buy
Ludford Mary E +$77,314.612 3 3 buy
Palfreyman Justin President & CEO +$59,718.75 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-18 5 5 -$195,678.219
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-09 9 9 -$322,100.295 5 C-suite
2026-05-07 – 2026-05-13 6 5 +$226,874.29 1 C-suite
2026-08-07 – 2026-08-18 4 4 +$19,933.626

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 Bragdon Peter J +$57,913.796 Transaction at $50.77, now -1.6%
2026-08-07 Ludford Mary E +$25,741.456 Transaction at $50.77, now -1.6%
2026-05-07 Palfreyman Justin President & CEO +$59,718.75 Transaction at $48.75, now +2.5%
2026-05-11 Bragdon Peter J +$57,802.568 Transaction at $50.19, now -0.5%
2026-03-04 Bragdon Peter J +$57,815.816 Transaction at $52.59, now -5.0%
2026-05-13 Bragdon Peter J +$20,128 Transaction at $50.32, now -0.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Northwest Natural Gas Co (NWN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NWN on Trend Edge →