SOAR — Volato Group Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SOAR Bearish with a Setup Score of 56, net conviction 24, actionability 132. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score56
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability132 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Volato Group Inc.

Volato Group, Inc. operates as a private aviation company in the United States. The company offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. It also sells airplanes; and provides Vaunt, a software-as-a-service subscription platform. In addition, the company offers Mission Control, a cloud-based software which provides a robust, API-first solution streamlining critical functions across flight scheduling, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.15
Market Cap$8.2M
Float24.7M
Shares Outstanding53.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.15
Profit Margin3.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)-235.41%
Revenue (TTM)$54.1M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.1M -$1.5M $202,561 -$1.4M
2022 $96.7M -$9.4M $2.4M -$8.4M
2023 $35.6M -$52.8M $4.8M -$4.3M
2024 $46.3M -$40.6M $7.5M -$14.6M
2025 $78.6M $5.2M $14.7M $6.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $24.9M $3.6M
Sep 2025 $381,000 $7.1M
Dec 2025 $27.8M -$6.0M
Mar 2026 $997,000 -$2.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership33.9%
Institutional Ownership0.8%
Short Float2.2%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$85.07Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$63.57Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.40 resistance 6.51x 0 months ago
$0.20 resistance 1.21x 1 months ago
$0.60 resistance 2.11x 4 months ago
$1.10 resistance 1.30x 6 months ago
$1.80 resistance 5.99x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (12 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.46% 0.00% 41.67% 5.82% -8.43%
1 Day -2.29% 0.00% 41.67% 1.27% -17.42%
1 Week -3.49% -0.02% 50.00% 12.91% -17.14%
2 Weeks 2.39% 0.51% 83.33% 16.77% -12.85%
1 Month 5.72% 0.34% 75.00% 102.53% -32.77%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (31 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.94% 31.7% 208
Tuesday 1.04% 42.9% 231
Wednesday -0.41% 31.9% 229
Thursday -0.18% 35.0% 223
Friday -0.86% 32.1% 224

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 0.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 33.9%

Founder-led management: Matthew Liotta (Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer), Nicholas Cooper (Co-Founder, Chief Commercial Officer and Director)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SOAR on Trend Edge →