IBM — International Business Machines

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About International Business Machines

International Business Machines Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated solutions and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, and Financing segments. The Software segment offers hybrid cloud and AI platforms that allow clients to realize their digital and AI transformations across the applications, data, and environments in … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$253.84
Market Cap$237.76B
Float937.9M
Shares Outstanding939.9M
P/E (Forward)23.92
P/E (TTM)22.37
Price/Sales (TTM)3.45
vs. Analyst Target+9.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin15.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.81%
Revenue (TTM)$68.91B
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.20%
Dividend Rate6.8%
Analyst Target Price$277.68 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $73.62B $5.59B $35.58B $12.71B
2021 $57.35B $5.74B $31.49B $13.44B
2022 $60.53B $1.64B $32.69B $7.17B
2023 $61.86B $7.50B $34.30B $7.51B
2024 $62.75B $6.02B $35.55B $12.18B
2025 $67.53B $10.59B $40.19B $17.28B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $16.98B $2.19B
Sep 2025 $16.33B $1.74B
Dec 2025 $19.69B $5.60B
Mar 2026 $15.92B $1.22B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership65.9%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding39.69%
Number of Funds Holding3,262

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$237.76Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$272.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$260.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$198.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$271.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$258.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$209.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$235.00 support 1.10x 0 months ago
$307.00 resistance 1.41x 2 months ago
$222.00 support 1.11x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (129 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.56% -0.05% 47.29% 14.76% -14.38%
1 Day -0.47% -0.72% 44.19% 13.16% -15.54%
1 Week -0.26% 0.05% 50.39% 19.16% -22.51%
2 Weeks 0.24% 0.09% 51.16% 21.75% -20.46%
1 Month 1.23% 0.72% 53.13% 30.18% -19.62%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.3%58.8%51
Feb-1.3%39.2%51
Mar0.3%58.8%51
Apr1.7%51.0%51
May0.2%46.0%50
Jun0.2%44.0%50
Jul2.4%62.0%50
Aug-0.4%48.0%50
Sep-0.1%50.0%50
Oct-0.8%46.0%50
Nov2.6%62.0%50
Dec0.5%54.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 54.8% 2384
Tuesday 0.08% 49.3% 2585
Wednesday -0.01% 48.7% 2586
Thursday -0.02% 47.6% 2536
Friday -0.04% 48.8% 2523

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change1,484
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FARR DAVID N +$304,000 1 1 buy
Miebach Michael +$101,263.527 1 1 buy
HOWARD MICHELLE J +$11,891.465 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-25 Miebach Michael +$101,263.527 Transaction at $233.33, now +8.8%
2026-02-25 HOWARD MICHELLE J +$11,891.465 Transaction at $237.83, now +6.7%
2026-01-30 FARR DAVID N +$304,000 Transaction at $304.00, now -16.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for International Business Machines (IBM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IBM on Trend Edge →