SMP — Standard Motor Products Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SMP Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 22, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction22
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Standard Motor Products Inc

Standard Motor Products, Inc. manufactures and distributes replacement automotive parts in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Poland, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Vehicle Control, Temperature Control, Nissens Automotive, and Engineered Solutions. It provides ignition, emissions, and fuel delivery systems, such as air injection and induction components, air management valves, regulators and solenoids, ex… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$37.47
Market Cap$826M
Float21.0M
Shares Outstanding22.3M
P/E (Forward)8.46
P/E (TTM)10.01
Price/Sales (TTM)0.45
vs. Analyst Target+29.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.68%
Revenue (TTM)$1.83B
Earnings Growth (YoY)35.60%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$48.33 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.13B $57.4M $328M $136M
2021 $1.30B $90.9M $368M $160M
2022 $1.37B $73.0M $373M $137M
2023 $1.36B $63.1M $380M $122M
2024 $1.46B $53.6M $413M $116M
2025 $1.79B $41.3M $541M $187M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $494M $25.2M
Sep 2025 $499M -$4.3M
Dec 2025 $385M $7.9M
Mar 2026 $451M $17.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.2%
Institutional Ownership83.4%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.03%
Number of Funds Holding167

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$38.86Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.62Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$35.02Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$34.96Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$37.89Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$34.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$34.51Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$39.30 resistance 1.02x 3 months ago
$30.20 support 1.37x 10 months ago
$27.10 support 1.01x 13 months ago
$25.00 support 1.51x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (129 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.00% 41.09% 4.01% -3.18%
1 Day -0.27% -0.38% 44.19% 23.82% -21.12%
1 Week -0.12% -0.34% 47.29% 36.65% -17.87%
2 Weeks -0.23% -0.99% 43.41% 88.20% -22.98%
1 Month 0.96% -0.43% 47.66% 61.49% -28.77%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%58.7%46
Feb-0.3%45.7%46
Mar0.6%50.0%46
Apr2.3%57.4%47
May2.0%48.9%47
Jun3.6%66.0%47
Jul2.8%52.2%46
Aug-0.5%39.1%46
Sep-0.9%43.5%46
Oct-0.5%54.3%46
Nov0.3%52.2%46
Dec4.3%69.6%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 45.5% 2206
Tuesday 0.04% 45.7% 2394
Wednesday 0.08% 44.6% 2392
Thursday -0.01% 43.5% 2346
Friday 0.14% 44.2% 2330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$912,285.799
Net Shares Change-19,230
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nicholas Ray CIO & VP IT -$674,114.268 4 4 sell
BURKS DALE Chief Commercial Officer & EVP -$83,680.791 1 1 sell
Sills Eric CEO & President -$58,576.06 1 1 sell
Iles Nathan R. Chief Financial Officer -$51,934.8 1 1 sell
Broccole Carmine Joseph CLO & Secretary -$43,979.88 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-12 5 5 -$260,590.369 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-09 Nicholas Ray CIO & VP IT -$231,424.5 Transaction at $39.75, now -5.7%
2026-06-02 Nicholas Ray CIO & VP IT -$74,646 Transaction at $38.28, now -2.1%
2025-12-12 Nicholas Ray CIO & VP IT -$345,624.93 Transaction at $38.01, now -1.4%
2025-11-12 Sills Eric CEO & President -$58,576.06 Transaction at $38.26, now -2.1%
2025-11-12 Nicholas Ray CIO & VP IT -$22,418.838 Transaction at $38.32, now -2.2%
2025-11-12 Iles Nathan R. Chief Financial Officer -$51,934.8 Transaction at $38.30, now -2.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SMP on Trend Edge →