SIF — SIFCO Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About SIFCO Industries Inc

SIFCO Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy, and defense and commercial space markets in the United States and internationally. The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, chemical processing, and machining. It also offers original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas tu… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.60
Market Cap$121M
Float4.7M
Shares Outstanding6.3M
P/E (Forward)11.22
P/E (TTM)16.30
Price/Sales (TTM)1.27
vs. Analyst Target-28.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.78%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.18%
Revenue (TTM)$95.3M
Earnings Growth (YoY)27791.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.50

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $114M $9.2M $20.0M $9.4M
2021 $99.6M -$743,000 $11.2M $6.3M
2022 $83.9M -$9.6M -$1.9M -$2.7M
2023 $66.1M -$8.7M $3.3M -$4.4M
2024 $79.6M -$5.4M $6.0M -$725,000
2025 $84.8M -$718,000 $10.6M $5.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $22.1M $3.4M
Sep 2025 $22.8M -$429,000
Dec 2025 $24.0M $1.8M
Mar 2026 $26.4M $2.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership24.4%
Institutional Ownership20.4%
Short Float0.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.24%
Number of Funds Holding20

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.13Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.40 support 1.86x 0 months ago
$12.90 support 1.33x 0 months ago
$6.30 support 3.82x 2 months ago
$4.80 support 3.24x 8 months ago
$3.70 support 2.20x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (104 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.01% -0.16% 40.38% 60.91% -7.80%
1 Day 0.44% -0.39% 45.19% 88.18% -22.54%
1 Week 1.45% -0.93% 42.31% 123.59% -30.71%
2 Weeks 1.88% -0.52% 45.19% 155.13% -31.62%
1 Month 3.77% 0.34% 50.49% 140.26% -58.00%

Next earnings: July 27, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.5%49.0%51
Feb1.0%43.1%51
Mar0.7%52.9%51
Apr0.6%41.2%51
May4.8%50.0%50
Jun-1.5%32.0%50
Jul-0.2%44.0%50
Aug1.8%46.0%50
Sep-1.4%42.0%50
Oct1.1%50.0%50
Nov1.7%52.0%50
Dec4.3%49.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.16% 34.8% 2384
Tuesday 0.01% 35.8% 2587
Wednesday 0.13% 36.4% 2587
Thursday 0.18% 37.5% 2537
Friday 0.21% 36.3% 2524

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 20.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 24.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for SIFCO Industries Inc (SIF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SIF on Trend Edge →