SF — Stifel Financial Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SF Bearish with a Setup Score of 30, net conviction 24, actionability 38. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score30
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability38 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Stifel Financial Corporation

Stifel Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated that provides retail and institutional wealth management, and investment banking services to individual, corporations, municipalities, and institutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$80.80
Market Cap$12.06B
Float145.5M
Shares Outstanding151.0M
P/E (Forward)13.76
P/E (TTM)14.79
Price/Sales (TTM)2.07
vs. Analyst Target+10.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.76%
Revenue (TTM)$5.83B
Earnings Growth (YoY)50.60%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$89.00 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.76B $503M $3.66B $712M
2021 $4.72B $825M $4.69B $1.13B
2022 $4.54B $662M $4.30B $955M
2023 $5.10B $523M $4.27B $788M
2024 $5.89B $731M $4.88B $1.01B
2025 $6.30B $684M $5.45B $934M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.62B $211M
Dec 2025 $1.75B $264M
Mar 2026 $1.67B $251M
Jun 2026 $1.64B $226M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.2%
Institutional Ownership93.5%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding6.70%
Number of Funds Holding589

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$78.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$78.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$74.07Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$59.85Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$77.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$74.25Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$63.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$83.00 resistance 1.48x 5 months ago
$69.00 support 1.10x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.13% 55.36% 4.91% -5.59%
1 Day 0.69% 0.57% 55.36% 10.21% -9.67%
1 Week 1.13% 1.32% 58.93% 13.97% -14.48%
2 Weeks 2.04% 1.83% 58.93% 29.47% -18.02%
1 Month 2.98% 2.64% 65.77% 31.65% -20.33%

Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%65.1%43
Feb2.2%58.1%43
Mar-0.3%46.5%43
Apr-0.8%39.5%43
May2.5%65.1%43
Jun1.1%41.9%43
Jul1.1%55.8%43
Aug0.1%48.8%43
Sep0.6%34.9%43
Oct1.8%55.8%43
Nov2.5%55.8%43
Dec1.4%53.5%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 41.4% 2050
Tuesday 0.13% 42.2% 2227
Wednesday 0.09% 42.3% 2225
Thursday 0.07% 42.4% 2184
Friday 0.07% 42.1% 2172

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 93.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$315,073.98
Net Shares Change-1,952
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Brown Maryam S. -$372,232.95 1 1 sell
ZEMLYAK JAMES M President -$315,073.98 1 1 sell
Rubulotta David -$49,724 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-27 Brown Maryam S. -$372,232.95 Transaction at $79.20, now +2.0%
2026-02-02 ZEMLYAK JAMES M President -$315,073.98 Transaction at $125.07, now -35.4%
2026-02-04 Rubulotta David -$49,724 Transaction at $124.31, now -35.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stifel Financial Corporation (SF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SF on Trend Edge →